Friday, June 26
NWS Alerts Active This Day
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 25 at 1:17PM CDT until June 27 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
WHERE Portions of southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, and far northwest Kentucky.
WHEN Through Saturday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are expected through Friday night. Repeated rounds of heavy rainfall from thunderstorms could produce flash flooding. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 25 at 3:54PM EDT until June 27 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
WHERE Portions of Indiana, including the following areas, Clark IN, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison IN, Orange, Perry and Washington IN and north central Kentucky, including the following area, Jefferson.
WHEN Through Saturday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple rounds of heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected across southern Indiana and northern Kentucky this evening through Saturday morning. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 1:09AM EDT until June 27 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
WHERE The following counties, in southeast Indiana, Dearborn, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley and Switzerland, the following counties, in Kentucky, Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Lewis, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson, and the following counties, in Ohio, Adams, Brown, Butler, Clermont, Clinton, Fayette, Hamilton, Highland, Pike, Ross, Scioto and Warren.
WHEN From this afternoon through Saturday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Excessive Rain
People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings.
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 1:57AM EDT until June 27 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
WHERE Portions of Indiana, including the following areas, Jefferson IN and Scott IN and Kentucky, including the following areas, Anderson, Bourbon, Clark KY, Fayette, Franklin, Harrison KY, Henry, Nicholas, Oldham, Scott KY, Shelby, Spencer, Trimble and Woodford.
WHEN Through Saturday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple waves of heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected today through Saturday morning across southern Indiana and northern Kentucky. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely. Multiple thunderstorms moving repeatedly over the same areas may result in localized rainfall totals of 3 to 4 inches. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 1:57AM EDT until June 27 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
WHERE Portions of Indiana, including the following areas, Clark IN, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison IN, Orange, Perry and Washington IN and north central Kentucky, including the following area, Jefferson.
WHEN Through Saturday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple waves of heavy showers and thunderstorms are expected today through Saturday morning across southern Indiana and northern Kentucky. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely. Multiple thunderstorms moving repeatedly over the same areas may result in localized rainfall totals of 3 to 4 inches. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 3:20AM EDT until June 27 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall from repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms is possible.
WHERE Portions of east central, northeast, and southeast Kentucky, including the following counties, in east central Kentucky, Bath, Elliott, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell and Rowan. In northeast Kentucky, Johnson and Martin. In southeast Kentucky, Morgan.
WHEN From 2 PM EDT this afternoon through Saturday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected to pass over northern Kentucky from this afternoon through Saturday morning. The rain will likely be heavy at times and move over the same locations. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected for the watch area with localized amounts up to 4 inches possible where sustained training of storm cells occur. This will lead to a good potential for flash flooding. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 7:32AM CDT until June 28 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
WHAT Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
WHERE Portions of western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri.
WHEN Through Sunday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are expected through Saturday. Repeated rounds of heavy rainfall from thunderstorms could produce flash flooding.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 7:32AM CDT until June 28 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
WHAT Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
WHERE Portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri.
WHEN Through Sunday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are expected through Saturday. Repeated rounds of heavy rainfall from thunderstorms could produce flash flooding.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 8:55AM EDT until June 27 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
WHERE Portions of northeast Kentucky, including the following counties, Boyd, Carter, Greenup and Lawrence, southeast Ohio, including the following counties, Athens, Gallia, Jackson OH, Lawrence OH, Meigs and Vinton, and West Virginia, including the following counties, Cabell, Jackson WV, Lincoln, Mason, Putnam, Wayne, Wirt and Wood.
WHEN From 2 PM EDT this afternoon through Saturday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected in the vicinity of a front. Locally heavy rainfall could result in instances flash flooding. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. Additional information can be found at https://www.weather.gov/rlx as well as on our X and Facebook pages.
Flood Advisory
Flood Advisory issued June 26 at 10:55AM EDT until June 26 at 3:00PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.
WHERE A portion of central Kentucky, including the following counties, Franklin and Shelby.
WHEN Until 300 PM EDT.
IMPACTS Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. Water over roadways. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 1055 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. Minor flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly in the advisory area. Between 2.5 and 3.5 inches of rain have fallen. - Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are expected over the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Frankfort, Shelbyville, Hatton, Bryant, Bagdad, Benson, Flag Fork, Harvieland, Old Christianburg and Elmburg. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 11:56AM EDT until June 27 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
WHERE The following counties, in southeast Indiana, Dearborn, Franklin, Ohio, Ripley and Switzerland, the following counties, in Kentucky, Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Lewis, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson, and the following counties, in Ohio, Adams, Brown, Butler, Clermont, Clinton, Fayette, Hamilton, Highland, Pike, Ross, Scioto and Warren.
WHEN Through Saturday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Rounds of showers and embedded thunderstorms may produce locally heavy rainfall that could lead to flash flooding.
People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings.
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 1:39PM EDT until June 27 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Charleston WV
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
WHERE Portions of northeast Kentucky, including the following counties, Boyd, Carter, Greenup and Lawrence, southeast Ohio, including the following counties, Athens, Gallia, Jackson OH, Lawrence OH, Meigs, Morgan, Vinton and Washington, and West Virginia, including the following counties, Cabell, Doddridge, Jackson WV, Lincoln, Mason, Pleasants, Putnam, Ritchie, Tyler, Wayne, Wirt and Wood.
WHEN Through Saturday evening.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected in the vicinity of a front. Locally heavy rainfall could result in instances flash flooding. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. Additional information can be found at https://www.weather.gov/rlx as well as on our X and Facebook pages.
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 1:17PM CDT until June 28 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
WHERE Portions of east central, north central, northwest, and south central Kentucky, including the following areas, in east central Kentucky, Boyle, Garrard, Jessamine, Madison and Mercer. In north central Kentucky, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Hardin, Larue, Meade, Nelson and Washington KY. In northwest Kentucky, Hancock and Ohio. In south central Kentucky, Adair, Allen, Barren, Butler, Casey, Clinton, Cumberland, Edmonson, Grayson, Green, Hart, Lincoln, Logan, Marion, Metcalfe, Monroe, Russell, Simpson, Taylor and Warren.
WHEN From 1 AM CDT /2 AM EDT/ Saturday through late Saturday night.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 1:17PM CDT until June 27 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
WHERE Portions of Indiana, including the following areas, Clark IN, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison IN, Jefferson IN, Orange, Perry, Scott IN and Washington IN and Kentucky, including the following areas, Anderson, Bourbon, Clark KY, Fayette, Franklin, Harrison KY, Henry, Jefferson, Nicholas, Oldham, Scott KY, Shelby, Spencer, Trimble and Woodford.
WHEN Through Saturday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 3:03PM EDT until June 27 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
WHERE The Flood Watch includes the Kentucky counties of Estill, Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle, Wayne, Whitley, Bell, Breathitt, Clay, Floyd, Harlan, Jackson, Knott, Knox, Lee, Leslie, Letcher, Magoffin, Owsley, Perry, Pike, and Wolfe.
WHEN The Flood Watch is in effect through Saturday afternoon.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff from persistent thunderstorms may result in localized flooding of creeks, streams, and other low lying and flood prone locations.
Monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 3:03PM EDT until June 27 at 6:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
WHERE The Flood Watch includes the Kentucky counties of Bath, Elliott, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell, Rowan, Johnson, Martin, and Morgan.
WHEN The Flood Watch is in effect through Saturday afternoon.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff from persistent thunderstorms may result in localized flooding of creeks, streams, and other low lying and flood prone locations.
Monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
Flood Watch
Flood Watch issued June 26 at 2:10PM CDT until June 28 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
WHAT Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
WHERE All of southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and southwest Indiana.
WHEN Through Sunday morning.
IMPACTS Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Multiple rounds of thunderstorms with repeat heavy rains could produce flash flooding.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Tornado Watch
Tornado Watch issued June 26 at 3:57PM CDT until June 26 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 399 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN ILLINOIS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 11 COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN JACKSON JOHNSON MASSAC POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION WILLIAMSON IN INDIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA POSEY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK IN KENTUCKY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 21 COUNTIES IN WESTERN KENTUCKY BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS GRAVES HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON MARSHALL MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG UNION WEBSTER IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI MISSISSIPPI THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BARDWELL, BENTON, BOONVILLE, CADIZ, CAIRO, CALHOUN, CARBONDALE, CHARLESTON, CLINTON, DIXON, EDDYVILLE, ELIZABETHTOWN, ELKTON, EVANSVILLE, GOLCONDA, GREENVILLE, HARRISBURG, HENDERSON, HERRIN, HOPKINSVILLE, JONESBORO, MADISONVILLE, MARION, MAYFIELD, METROPOLIS, MORGANFIELD, MOUND CITY, MURPHYSBORO, MURRAY, OWENSBORO, PADUCAH, POSEYVILLE, PRINCETON, ROCKPORT, SHAWNEETOWN, SMITHLAND, VIENNA, AND WICKLIFFE.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued June 26 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
At 500 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Prestonsburg, moving east at 15 mph.
HAZARD Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE Radar indicated.
IMPACT Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible. Locations impacted include... Prestonsburg, Auxier, Odds, Dicks Creek, Cliff, Endicott, Oaklawn Estates, East Point, Bays Branch, Lancer, Davisport, Nero, Corn Fork Hollow, Alvin, Van Lear, and Emma. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS... Kentucky Highway 3 in Floyd County between mile markers 1 and 4. Kentucky Highway 3 in Johnson County Kentucky Highway 3 in Martin County between mile markers 1 and 3. U.S. Highway 23 in Floyd County between mile markers 13 and 21. U.S. Highway 23 in Johnson County between mile markers 0 and 1.
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued June 26 at 5:03PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
At 503 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Martin, or near Prestonsburg, moving east at 15 mph.
HAZARD Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE Radar indicated.
IMPACT Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible. Locations impacted include... Prestonsburg, Martin, Allen, Endicott, Printer, Langley, Lancer, Arkansas, Aluba, Betsy Layne, Ivel, Honaker, Blue Moon, Osborn, Cliff, Banner, Justell, Harold, Beaver Junction, and McCombs. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS... Kentucky Highway 80 in Floyd County between mile markers 6 and 14. U.S. Highway 23 in Floyd County between mile markers 1 and 17. U.S. Highway 23 in Pike County between mile markers 30 and 32.
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 26 at 4:05PM CDT until June 26 at 4:30PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
At 405 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Cairo, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD 60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.
SOURCE Radar indicated.
IMPACT Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. Locations impacted include... Cairo and Wickliffe. This includes the following highways... Interstate 57 in Illinois between Mile Markers 1 and 2. Interstate 57 in Missouri between Mile Markers 16 and 21.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southern Illinois...western Kentucky...and southeastern Missouri. Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the basement or small central room in a sturdy structure. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued June 26 at 4:07PM CDT until June 26 at 4:30PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
At 406 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Mound City, or 7 miles northeast of Cairo, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD 60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE Radar indicated.
IMPACT Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. Locations impacted include... Cairo, Mounds, Mound City, Olmsted, and Pulaski. This includes Interstate 57 in Illinois between Mile Markers 1 and 13.
A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southern Illinois...western Kentucky...and southeastern Missouri. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Warning issued June 26 at 4:10PM CDT until June 26 at 10:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
FFWPAH The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Pulaski County in southern Illinois... Northwestern McCracken County in western Kentucky... * Until 1015 PM CDT Friday. * At 410 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen in the past 30 minutes in the western part of Pulaski County. This is falling on top of very heavy rainfall from overnight that was over 3 inches. Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE Radar.
IMPACT Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor drainage and low-lying areas. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Mounds, Tamms, Mound City, Karnak, Ullin, Olmsted, New Grand Chain and Pulaski.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
Tornado Warning
Tornado Warning issued June 26 at 4:21PM CDT until June 26 at 5:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
At 421 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Cairo, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD Tornado.
SOURCE Radar indicated rotation.
IMPACT Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This dangerous storm will be near... Cairo, Mounds, and Mound City around 425 PM CDT. Barlow around 430 PM CDT. This includes the following highways... Interstate 57 in Illinois between Mile Markers 1 and 6. Interstate 57 in Missouri between Mile Markers 17 and 21.
TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.
Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Warning issued June 26 at 5:05PM CDT until June 26 at 11:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
FFWPAH The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Ballard County in western Kentucky... * Until 1115 PM CDT Friday. * At 505 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen across northwestern Ballard County, with rainfall rates of 1 inch within 15 to 20 minutes. Additional rainfall amounts in excess of 1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.
HAZARD Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.
SOURCE Radar.
IMPACT Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor drainage and low-lying areas. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Cairo, La Center, Barlow and Kevil.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
Soggy Friday with Widespread Rain and High Humidity
A widespread rain event will impact Kentucky on Friday as a slow-moving mid-level shortwave interacts with a stalling surface boundary. Expect high humidity and persistent cloud cover across the state, with the heaviest rainfall totals likely in Western and Northern Kentucky. No severe weather or wintry precipitation is expected.
Confidence Assessment
High confidence exists for the occurrence of rain and the general temperature profile. The only reduction in confidence stems from model disagreements regarding specific rainfall accumulation axes.
Get Personalized Forecasts
Choose which region in Kentucky you're interested in and we'll always show you that one first. You can change your selected region by clicking the "Star" icon on any regional forecast.
Purchase Area
Expect a soggy start to your Friday with periods of heavy rain throughout the morning. Rainfall totals will likely reach around 0.8 inches.
Northwest Pennyrile
Rain will arrive around dawn and continue through much of the afternoon. Accumulations around 0.5 inches are expected.
Southwest Pennyrile
Significant rain is expected during the morning hours, with accumulations around 0.9 inches. Conditions will remain damp through the evening.
Barren River
The morning may start dry, but rain chances increase quickly after midday. Accumulations around 0.4 inches are expected.
Louisville Metro
Periods of steady rain will persist throughout the day, especially in the afternoon and evening. Total rain will be around 0.6 inches.
Lincoln Trail
Rain showers will be common from late morning through the night. Total rain accumulations around 0.5 inches are expected.
Lake Cumberland
A dry start is likely, but rain will move in during the afternoon and evening hours. Expect around 0.2 inches of rain.
Northern Kentucky
Expect frequent and heavy rain showers, particularly during the afternoon and evening. Total rainfall will be around 0.7 inches.
Inner Bluegrass
Rain will be a near certainty by the afternoon commute. Expect around 0.4 inches of rain through Friday night.
Bluegrass Foothills
Intermittent rain showers will develop by the afternoon. Accumulations around 0.4 inches are expected.
Northeast Kentucky
Most of the daylight hours will be dry but cloudy, with rain becoming steady after 4:00 PM. Expect around 0.3 inches.
Southeast Kentucky
While the rest of the state sees rain, the mountains will stay mostly dry until late evening. Expect a high of 86.
Possible Outcomes
Weather forecasting involves uncertainty. Below are two scenarios representing the range of possible outcomes: the "Boom" scenario shows the worst-case/highest-impact result if conditions align unfavorably, while the "Bust" scenario shows the best-case/lowest-impact result if the forecast doesn't materialize as expected.
The 'Boom' Scenario
If the frontal boundary stalls further south and interacts with the maximum moisture transport as suggested by the NAM, rainfall totals could exceed 1.5 inches in Western Kentucky and the Northern Bluegrass, leading to localized minor flooding in urban areas.
The 'Bust' Scenario
If the mid-level trough is faster and drier air entrainment occurs from the north (as hinted by GFS), precipitation would remain light and stratiform, with totals staying below 0.5 inches statewide and clearing occurring earlier Friday evening.
Model Disagreements
When models disagree, a call must be made to determine the most likely outcome. This decision is based on a combination of factors including model performance, historical data, and the models general accounting of each climatic region of Kentucky.
Frontal Positioning Battle
The Euro and NAM disagree on where the primary low-level convergence will focus. The Euro targets the Ohio River/Northern KY for the heaviest totals, while the NAM focuses on the Western/Southern Pennyrile.
Why EURO Wins
The Euro is historically more reliable with the positioning of stalling baroclinic zones (fronts) and synoptic-scale lift patterns.
The Western QPF Divergence
A sharp disagreement exists between the NAM and GFS regarding rainfall intensity in Western Kentucky. The NAM suggests a high-intensity moisture surge (over 1 inch), while the GFS remains much drier (near 0.5 inches).
Why BLEND Wins
While the NAM often over-forecasts localized bullseyes, its superior resolution of low-level moisture transport in the 0-36h window is more credible than the GFS 'smear' effect. However, a blend is used to temper the NAM's outliers.
Celestial Almanac
Waxing Gibbous
Purchase Area
Northwest Pennyrile
Southwest Pennyrile
Barren River
Louisville Metro
Lincoln Trail
Lake Cumberland
Northern Kentucky
Inner Bluegrass
Bluegrass Foothills
Northeast Kentucky
Southeast Kentucky
Dive Deeper Into the Models
This forecast is a synthesis of raw data from the NAM, GFS, ECMWF, and GEM models. These models provide detailed atmospheric analyses including 500mb vorticity, precipitation rates, and more. You can take a look at the raw model data by clicking the links below.