kywx
Kentucky AI Weather Engine

Kentucky AI Forecasting Beta

Sun, Mar 15
Tue, Mar 17
Forecast For

Monday, March 16

Updated Mar 15, 7:00 AM EDT

NWS Alerts Active This Day

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 1:30 AM -> Mar 16, 1:30 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:30AM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 12:27 PM -> Mar 15, 10:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:27PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 12:27 PM -> Mar 15, 10:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:27PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Flood Warning

Mar 15, 12:33 PM -> Mar 16, 8:00 AM
Severe Severity

Flood Warning issued March 15 at 11:33AM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 12:36 PM -> Mar 15, 8:45 PM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:36PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 12:36 PM -> Mar 15, 8:45 PM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:36PM EDT until March 16 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 1:47 PM -> Mar 15, 11:30 PM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 1:47PM EDT until March 16 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV

High Wind Warning

Mar 15, 1:47 PM -> Mar 15, 10:00 PM
Severe Severity

High Wind Warning issued March 15 at 1:47PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 1:47 PM -> Mar 15, 10:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 1:47PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 1:47 PM -> Mar 15, 10:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 1:47PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

High Wind Warning

Mar 15, 1:59 PM -> Mar 15, 10:00 PM
Severe Severity

High Wind Warning issued March 15 at 12:59PM CDT until March 15 at 9:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 1:59 PM -> Mar 15, 10:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:59PM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Winter Weather Advisory

Mar 15, 2:13 PM -> Mar 15, 10:15 PM
Moderate Severity

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 15 at 2:13PM EDT until March 17 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Tornado Watch

Mar 15, 4:58 PM -> Mar 16, 12:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 3:58PM CDT until March 15 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 4:59 PM -> Mar 16, 5:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 4:59PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 7:15 PM -> Mar 16, 4:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 7:15PM EDT until March 16 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 7:15 PM -> Mar 16, 4:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 7:15PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Tornado Watch

Mar 15, 7:35 PM -> Mar 16, 12:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 6:35PM CDT until March 15 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 7:48 PM -> Mar 16, 8:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 6:48PM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 7:48 PM -> Mar 16, 8:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 6:48PM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 7:52 PM -> Mar 15, 8:30 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 6:52PM CDT until March 15 at 7:30PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 8:16 PM -> Mar 15, 9:00 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 7:16PM CDT until March 15 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 15, 8:18 PM -> Mar 15, 9:00 PM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 7:18PM CDT until March 15 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 15, 8:20 PM -> Mar 15, 9:15 PM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 7:20PM CDT until March 15 at 8:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Tornado Watch

Mar 15, 8:26 PM -> Mar 16, 3:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 8:26PM EDT until March 16 at 3:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Tornado Watch

Mar 15, 8:27 PM -> Mar 16, 3:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 8:27PM EDT until March 16 at 3:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 8:30 PM -> Mar 16, 6:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 8:30PM EDT until March 16 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 8:30 PM -> Mar 16, 6:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 8:30PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Tornado Watch

Mar 15, 9:17 PM -> Mar 16, 12:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 8:17PM CDT until March 15 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 9:20 PM -> Mar 15, 10:00 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 8:20PM CDT until March 15 at 9:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 15, 9:26 PM -> Mar 15, 9:45 PM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 8:26PM CDT until March 15 at 8:45PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 9:34 PM -> Mar 16, 5:45 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 9:34PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 9:34 PM -> Mar 16, 5:45 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 9:34PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 9:34 PM -> Mar 16, 5:45 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 9:34PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 9:37 PM -> Mar 15, 10:30 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 8:37PM CDT until March 15 at 9:30PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 9:41 PM -> Mar 15, 10:00 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 8:41PM CDT until March 15 at 9:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 9:46 PM -> Mar 15, 10:15 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 8:46PM CDT until March 15 at 9:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Winter Weather Advisory

Mar 15, 9:50 PM -> Mar 16, 8:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 15 at 9:50PM EDT until March 17 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Tornado Watch

Mar 15, 10:01 PM -> Mar 16, 12:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 9:01PM CDT until March 15 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 10:23 PM -> Mar 15, 11:15 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 9:23PM CDT until March 15 at 10:15PM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 10:25 PM -> Mar 15, 11:00 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 9:25PM CDT until March 15 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 15, 10:29 PM -> Mar 16, 6:30 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 10:29PM EDT until March 16 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 10:34 PM -> Mar 15, 11:00 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 9:34PM CDT until March 15 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 15, 10:37 PM -> Mar 15, 11:30 PM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 9:37PM CDT until March 15 at 10:30PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 10:38 PM -> Mar 15, 11:15 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 10:38PM EDT until March 15 at 11:15PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 10:39 PM -> Mar 15, 11:30 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 9:39PM CDT until March 15 at 10:30PM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 10:39 PM -> Mar 15, 11:00 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 9:39PM CDT until March 15 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 10:42 PM -> Mar 15, 11:15 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 9:42PM CDT until March 15 at 10:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 10:42 PM -> Mar 15, 11:15 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 9:42PM CDT until March 15 at 10:15PM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 15, 10:59 PM -> Mar 15, 11:45 PM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 9:59PM CDT until March 15 at 10:45PM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 11:00 PM -> Mar 15, 11:15 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 11:00PM EDT until March 15 at 11:15PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Tornado Watch

Mar 15, 11:00 PM -> Mar 16, 12:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 10:00PM CDT until March 15 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 11:06 PM -> Mar 15, 11:16 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 10:06PM CDT until March 15 at 10:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 11:09 PM -> Mar 15, 11:15 PM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 10:09PM CDT until March 15 at 10:15PM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 15, 11:11 PM -> Mar 15, 11:45 PM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 11:11PM EDT until March 15 at 11:45PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 11:13 PM -> Mar 16, 12:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 11:13PM EDT until March 16 at 12:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 15, 11:14 PM -> Mar 15, 11:45 PM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 10:14PM CDT until March 15 at 10:45PM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 11:16 PM -> Mar 16, 12:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 11:16PM EDT until March 16 at 12:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 11:46 PM -> Mar 16, 12:30 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 10:46PM CDT until March 15 at 11:30PM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Tornado Watch

Mar 15, 11:46 PM -> Mar 16, 5:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 11:46PM EDT until March 16 at 5:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Tornado Watch

Mar 15, 11:46 PM -> Mar 16, 5:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 11:46PM EDT until March 16 at 5:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 11:49 PM -> Mar 16, 12:15 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 11:49PM EDT until March 16 at 12:15AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 11:54 PM -> Mar 16, 12:15 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 11:54PM EDT until March 16 at 12:15AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Mar 15, 11:54 PM -> Mar 16, 4:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued March 15 at 11:54PM EDT until March 16 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV

Tornado Warning

Mar 15, 11:54 PM -> Mar 16, 12:30 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 11:54PM EDT until March 16 at 12:30AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Mar 15, 11:57 PM -> Mar 16, 4:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued March 15 at 11:57PM EDT until March 16 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Tornado Watch

Mar 15, 11:57 PM -> Mar 16, 3:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 11:57PM EDT until March 16 at 3:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 15, 11:59 PM -> Mar 16, 12:30 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 11:59PM EDT until March 16 at 12:30AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 16, 12:07 AM -> Mar 16, 12:30 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 16 at 12:07AM EDT until March 16 at 12:30AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 12:11 AM -> Mar 16, 12:30 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 11:11PM CDT until March 15 at 11:30PM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 12:11 AM -> Mar 16, 1:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 12:11AM EDT until March 16 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 12:15 AM -> Mar 16, 1:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 12:15AM EDT until March 16 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 16, 12:17 AM -> Mar 16, 12:30 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 16 at 12:17AM EDT until March 16 at 12:30AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 12:26 AM -> Mar 16, 1:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 12:26AM EDT until March 16 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 12:26 AM -> Mar 16, 1:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 12:26AM EDT until March 16 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 12:26 AM -> Mar 16, 1:15 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 12:26AM EDT until March 16 at 1:15AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 12:30 AM -> Mar 16, 1:15 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 12:30AM EDT until March 16 at 1:15AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Tornado Watch

Mar 16, 12:36 AM -> Mar 16, 5:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 12:36AM EDT until March 16 at 5:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 12:38 AM -> Mar 16, 1:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 12:38AM EDT until March 16 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Mar 16, 12:41 AM -> Mar 16, 7:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued March 16 at 12:41AM EDT until March 16 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Mar 16, 12:43 AM -> Mar 16, 7:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued March 16 at 12:43AM EDT until March 16 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Mar 16, 12:43 AM -> Mar 16, 4:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued March 16 at 12:43AM EDT until March 16 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 1:13 AM -> Mar 16, 2:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 1:13AM EDT until March 16 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 1:16 AM -> Mar 16, 1:45 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 1:16AM EDT until March 16 at 1:45AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 16, 1:17 AM -> Mar 16, 1:45 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 16 at 12:17AM CDT until March 16 at 12:45AM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Mar 16, 1:20 AM -> Mar 16, 4:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued March 16 at 1:20AM EDT until March 16 at 4:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Tornado Warning

Mar 16, 1:20 AM -> Mar 16, 2:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 16 at 12:20AM CDT until March 16 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 1:25 AM -> Mar 16, 2:15 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 1:25AM EDT until March 16 at 2:15AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Tornado Watch

Mar 16, 1:28 AM -> Mar 16, 5:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Watch issued March 16 at 1:28AM EDT until March 16 at 5:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 1:29 AM -> Mar 16, 2:15 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 1:29AM EDT until March 16 at 2:15AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 16, 1:32 AM -> Mar 16, 2:00 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 16 at 12:32AM CDT until March 16 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 1:33 AM -> Mar 16, 1:45 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 1:33AM EDT until March 16 at 1:45AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 1:34 AM -> Mar 16, 2:15 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 1:34AM EDT until March 16 at 2:15AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 16, 1:37 AM -> Mar 16, 1:47 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 16 at 12:37AM CDT until March 16 at 12:45AM CDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 1:40 AM -> Mar 16, 2:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 1:40AM EDT until March 16 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Tornado Warning

Mar 16, 1:42 AM -> Mar 16, 2:15 AM
Extreme Severity

Tornado Warning issued March 16 at 1:42AM EDT until March 16 at 2:15AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 1:48 AM -> Mar 16, 2:30 AM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 1:48AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Wind Advisory

Mar 16, 2:25 AM -> Mar 16, 8:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 16 at 2:25AM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Wind Advisory

Mar 16, 2:25 AM -> Mar 16, 8:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 16 at 2:25AM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Wind Advisory

Mar 16, 2:57 AM -> Mar 16, 8:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 16 at 2:57AM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Mar 16, 3:47 AM -> Mar 16, 7:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued March 16 at 3:47AM EDT until March 16 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 4:16 AM -> Mar 16, 5:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 4:16AM EDT until March 16 at 5:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 4:23 AM -> Mar 16, 4:45 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 4:23AM EDT until March 16 at 4:45AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Mar 16, 4:27 AM -> Mar 16, 4:45 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 16 at 4:27AM EDT until March 16 at 4:45AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 4:32 AM -> Mar 16, 4:45 AM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 4:32AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Mar 16, 4:32 AM -> Mar 16, 7:00 AM
Severe Severity

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued March 16 at 4:32AM EDT until March 16 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 5:07 AM -> Mar 16, 11:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 5:07AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 5:53 AM -> Mar 16, 8:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 5:53AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 6:07 AM -> Mar 16, 1:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 6:07AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Wind Advisory

Mar 16, 6:18 AM -> Mar 16, 11:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Wind Advisory issued March 16 at 6:18AM EDT until March 16 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV

Winter Weather Advisory

Mar 16, 7:55 AM -> Mar 16, 8:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 16 at 7:55AM EDT until March 17 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Winter Weather Advisory

Mar 16, 11:07 AM -> Mar 16, 7:15 PM
Moderate Severity

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 16 at 11:07AM EDT until March 17 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Winter Weather Advisory

Mar 16, 11:07 AM -> Mar 16, 7:15 PM
Moderate Severity

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 16 at 11:07AM EDT until March 17 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 11:40 AM -> Mar 16, 5:45 PM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 11:40AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 1:28 PM -> Mar 16, 8:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 1:28PM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 1:28 PM -> Mar 16, 8:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 1:28PM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 2:06 PM -> Mar 16, 7:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 2:06PM EDT by NWS Charleston WV

Winter Weather Advisory

Mar 16, 2:53 PM -> Mar 16, 11:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 16 at 2:53PM EDT until March 17 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Winter Weather Advisory

Mar 16, 2:53 PM -> Mar 16, 11:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 16 at 2:53PM EDT until March 17 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Winter Weather Advisory

Mar 16, 2:53 PM -> Mar 16, 11:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 16 at 2:53PM EDT until March 17 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 3:55 PM -> Mar 16, 5:00 PM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 3:55PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 5:10 PM -> Mar 16, 10:15 PM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 5:10PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Winter Weather Advisory

Mar 16, 5:40 PM -> Mar 17, 2:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 16 at 5:40PM EDT until March 17 at 2:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Winter Weather Advisory

Mar 16, 5:40 PM -> Mar 17, 2:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 16 at 5:40PM EDT until March 17 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Winter Weather Advisory

Mar 16, 5:40 PM -> Mar 17, 2:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 16 at 5:40PM EDT until March 17 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 6:56 PM -> Mar 17, 12:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 6:56PM EDT by NWS Charleston WV

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 7:47 PM -> Mar 17, 12:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 7:47PM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH

Special Weather Statement

Mar 16, 7:50 PM -> Mar 17, 12:00 AM
Moderate Severity

Special Weather Statement issued March 16 at 7:50PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY

Confidence
60%

How Did We Do?

Comparing our AI forecast to actual observations from Monday, March 16, 2026.

Temperature
±16.1°F
Average Error
Precipitation
±60.24"
Average Error
Wind Speed
±5.4mph
Average error

Regional Assessments

Purchase Area

Paducah, Murray, Mayfield
Temperature
Forecast
39° / 26°
Actual
64° / 30°
Error: -25°F high, -4°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
0.1"
Actual
13.54"
±13.44" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
20 / 33 mph
Actual
13 / 43 mph
Mesonet Stations HCKM, BAND

Northwest Pennyrile

Owensboro, Henderson, Morganfield
Temperature
Forecast
41° / 25°
Actual
73° / 27°
Error: -32°F high, -2°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
0.4"
Actual
50.69"
±50.29" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
21 / 36 mph
Actual
17 / 44 mph
Mesonet Stations FRNY, RPTN, GRHM, DIXO

Southwest Pennyrile

Hopkinsville, Madisonville, Princeton
Temperature
Forecast
44° / 25°
Actual
73° / 29°
Error: -29°F high, -4°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
0"
Actual
69.19"
±69.19" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
20 / 37 mph
Actual
15 / 53 mph
Mesonet Stations PRNC, PGHL, ERLN, CADZ, CCTY

Barren River

Bowling Green, Glasgow, Franklin
Temperature
Forecast
48° / 24°
Actual
73° / 29°
Error: -25°F high, -5°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
0.2"
Actual
65.89"
±65.69" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
19 / 43 mph
Actual
16 / 68 mph
Mesonet Stations FARM, WDBY, EWPK

Louisville Metro

Louisville, La Grange, Shepherdsville
Temperature
Forecast
52° / 24°
Actual
70° / 26°
Error: -18°F high, -2°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
0.2"
Actual
16.71"
±16.51" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
18 / 33 mph
Actual
16 / 61 mph
Mesonet Stations LGRN

Lincoln Trail

Elizabethtown, Bardstown, Leitchfield
Temperature
Forecast
56° / 24°
Actual
73° / 26°
Error: -17°F high, -2°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
0.3"
Actual
103.09"
±102.79" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
21 / 34 mph
Actual
14 / 62 mph
Mesonet Stations CRMT, BLRK, CCLA, BRND, HARD

Lake Cumberland

Somerset, Columbia, Monticello
Temperature
Forecast
64° / 25°
Actual
72° / 26°
Error: -8°F high, -1°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
0.4"
Actual
119.54"
±119.14" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
18 / 47 mph
Actual
11 / 49 mph
Mesonet Stations PCWN, CMBA, GRDR, WOOD, GRBG

Northern Kentucky

Covington, Florence, Independence
Temperature
Forecast
62° / 26°
Actual
70° / 25°
Error: -8°F high, 1°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
1"
Actual
27.58"
±26.58" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
18 / 52 mph
Actual
11 / 43 mph
Mesonet Stations HHTS, HUEY

Inner Bluegrass

Lexington, Georgetown, Winchester
Temperature
Forecast
63° / 24°
Actual
69° / 25°
Error: -6°F high, -1°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
0.5"
Actual
47.33"
±46.83" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
24 / 56 mph
Actual
18 / 46 mph
Mesonet Stations LXGN, SPIN

Bluegrass Foothills

Richmond, Danville, Berea
Temperature
Forecast
64° / 24°
Actual
70° / 27°
Error: -6°F high, -3°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
0.5"
Actual
20.85"
±20.35" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
18 / 51 mph
Actual
13 / 45 mph
Mesonet Stations LGNT

Northeast Kentucky

Ashland, Morehead, Grayson
Temperature
Forecast
65° / 26°
Actual
74° / 29°
Error: -9°F high, -3°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
1"
Actual
40.02"
±39.02" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
14 / 50 mph
Actual
10 / 35 mph
Mesonet Stations MRHD, CHTR

Southeast Kentucky

Hazard, Pikeville, Harlan
Temperature
Forecast
63° / 23°
Actual
73° / 26°
Error: -10°F high, -3°F low
Precipitation
Forecast
2"
Actual
155.02"
±153.02" off
Wind Speed
Forecast
14 / 51 mph
Actual
6 / 46 mph
Mesonet Stations BMBL, QKSD, BNVL, VEST, RFVC, RFSM, PBDY

Arctic Blast: Flash Freeze and Mountain Snow Expected

A powerful arctic cold front will sweep across Kentucky on Monday, causing a dramatic 30 to 40-degree temperature drop, damaging wind gusts, and a transition from heavy rain to accumulating snow.

Why is this happening?
Technical explanation of the atmospheric setup
Confidence Assessment

High confidence in the timing of the temperature crash and wind gusts; moderate to low confidence on snow totals due to the speed of the dry slot and warm antecedent ground temperatures.

Get Personalized Forecasts

Choose which region in Kentucky you're interested in and we'll always show you that one first. You can change your selected region by clicking the "Star" icon on any regional forecast.

Purchase Area

NUISANCE
Paducah, Murray, Mayfield
Trace Snow After Morning Rain
Rain
39°/ 26°

Northwest Pennyrile

IMPACTFUL
Owensboro, Henderson, Morganfield
Morning Rain Turning to Light Snow
Snow
41°/ 25°

Southwest Pennyrile

NUISANCE
Hopkinsville, Madisonville, Princeton
Windy and Cold with Morning Rain
Rain
44°/ 25°

Barren River

IMPACTFUL
Bowling Green, Glasgow, Franklin
Heavy Rain and High Winds
Rain
48°/ 24°

Louisville Metro

IMPACTFUL
Louisville, La Grange, Shepherdsville
Urban Flash Freeze Risk
Wintry_Mix
52°/ 24°

Lincoln Trail

IMPACTFUL
Elizabethtown, Bardstown, Leitchfield
Messy Mix and Rapid Cooling
Wintry_Mix
56°/ 24°

Lake Cumberland

IMPACTFUL
Somerset, Columbia, Monticello
Soaking Rain and Falling Temperatures
Rain
64°/ 25°

Northern Kentucky

IMPACTFUL
Covington, Florence, Independence
Windy with Accumulating Snow
Snow
62°/ 26°

Inner Bluegrass

IMPACTFUL
Lexington, Georgetown, Winchester
Damaging Winds and Snow Dusting
Snow
63°/ 24°

Bluegrass Foothills

IMPACTFUL
Richmond, Danville, Berea
Heavy Rain then Icy Snow
Rain
64°/ 24°

Northeast Kentucky

IMPACTFUL
Ashland, Morehead, Grayson
Afternoon Snow and High Winds
Snow
65°/ 26°

Southeast Kentucky

IMPACTFUL
Hazard, Pikeville, Harlan
Heavy Snow Potential in Mountains
Heavy_Snow
63°/ 23°

Possible Outcomes

Weather forecasting involves uncertainty. Below are two scenarios representing the range of possible outcomes: the "Boom" scenario shows the worst-case/highest-impact result if conditions align unfavorably, while the "Bust" scenario shows the best-case/lowest-impact result if the forecast doesn't materialize as expected.

💥

The 'Boom' Scenario

The moisture lingers longer in the cold air, and the deformation zone stalls over Central and Eastern KY, resulting in widespread 2-4 inch snow totals and a severe flash freeze on all roadways.

💨

The 'Bust' Scenario

A faster dry slot arrival cuts off precipitation immediately following the frontal passage, leaving only trace flurries and minimizing accumulation to the highest peaks of the Southeast Coalfields.

Model Disagreements

When models disagree, a call must be made to determine the most likely outcome. This decision is based on a combination of factors including model performance, historical data, and the models general accounting of each climatic region of Kentucky.

The Purchase Snow Outlier

The GFS predicts nearly 2 inches of snow for the Purchase region, while all other models (NAM, GEM, Euro) show the moisture exiting well before the column cools sufficiently for anything beyond a trace.

GFS
VS
NAM
VS
GEM
Why NONE Wins

The GFS is identified as a significant outlier here, likely over-forecasting light precipitation coverage (the 'Smear Effect') in a region where the dry slot is most certain to arrive first.

Affected Regions
PURCHASE

The Post-Frontal Moisture Fight

The GFS and NAM maintain a deeper saturated layer behind the surface front, supporting 1-2 inches of snow, while the Euro aggressively introduces a dry slot that shuts down precipitation almost immediately after the temperature crash.

NAM
VS
GFS
VS
EURO
Why NAM Wins

The NAM's high-resolution handling of anafront structures and terrain-induced moisture retention in the Bluegrass and Coalfields is typically superior to the GFS 'smear' or the Euro's occasionally over-aggressive dry slots in strong cold air advection regimes.

Affected Regions
BLUEGRASS CORENORTHEAST KYSOUTHEAST COALFIELDSNORTHERN KY

Technical Analysis

This section provides a deep, physics-based explanation of the weather. Our AI system analyzed multiple atmospheric layers and variables from all available models to synthesize this technical overview.

Below you'll find detailed breakdowns of the atmospheric dynamics that are driving today's forecast, including thermodynamics, kinematics, and hydrology.

Thermodynamics

Stability & Temperatures

How temperature changes with altitude. This determines whether precipitation falls as rain, snow, sleet, or freezing rain based on the vertical temperature profile.

Thermal Profile Overview

An extreme non-diurnal trend with a sharp low-level inversion developing behind the front. 850mb temperatures crash from +10C to -12C within a 12-hour window.

Thermal Boundary

Frontal boundary enters Northwest KY around 03Z, clears the I-65 corridor by 10Z, and exits the Southeast Coalfields by 18Z.

Diurnal Trend

Non-diurnal; daily maximums occur shortly after midnight with temperatures falling throughout the morning and afternoon, bottoming out in the 20s by sunset.

Kinematics

Wind & Energy

Wind patterns and atmospheric energy. Frontal passages, jet stream positioning, and vorticity tell us where and when lift will generate precipitation.

Frontal Passage

Sharp cold front evidenced by a 180-degree wind shift to the northwest and a 3-hourly pressure rise exceeding 4mb.

Jet Stream Support

Lift is enhanced by the right entrance region of a 110kt 300mb jet streak, particularly across Northern and Eastern Kentucky.

Energy Status

A compact shortwave trough with absolute vorticity peaking at 14-16e-5/s pivots through the Ohio Valley.

Hydrology

Moisture & Precipitation

Moisture content and precipitation character. This reveals whether the atmosphere is saturated enough to produce precipitation, and what type to expect (steady vs. bursts).

Saturation Status

Column is deeply saturated ahead of the front; post-frontal saturation is maintained in the lower 700mb-850mb layer, supporting anafrontal snow transition.

Precipitation Character

Transition from convective rain in the warm sector to stratiform and then light convective snow bursts post-front.

Flooding Context

Preceding rainfall of 0.5-1.5 inches on saturated ground may cause minor ponding, which will be prone to flash freezing.

Winter Physics

Accumulation & Layers

Specific physical factors affecting winter weather, including the vertical melt/freeze profile and snow quality.

Layer Analysis

The 850mb warm nose is rapidly scoured. The freeze line crashes to the surface, preceding the end of measurable precipitation by 3-5 hours in Eastern KY.

Crystal Habit

Initial snow will be rimed/wet (low SLR), transitioning to high-quality dendrites as the DGZ saturates in the colder air mass.

Road Impact

Flash freeze is a primary concern. Surface temperatures will plummet while roads are still wet from morning rain, creating a layer of black ice beneath any light snow accumulation.

Severe Risk

Instability & Shear

Atmospheric ingredients required for severe thunderstorms, including available fuel (CAPE) and storm organization (shear).

Shear Analysis

Strong deep-layer shear (50kt LLJ) exists, but lack of surface-based instability limits the threat to non-convective high winds.

Instability Context

CAPE is negligible, precluding organized severe thunderstorms.

Primary Threat

Damaging non-convective wind gusts up to 55 mph.

Celestial Almanac

Moon Phase

Waning Crescent

8% Illumination
Moonrise
6:46 AM
Moonset
5:46 PM
Purchase Area
Sunrise
8:05 AM
Sunset
8:03 PM
Civil Dawn
7:39 AM
Civil Dusk
8:29 PM
Northwest Pennyrile
Sunrise
7:59 AM
Sunset
7:57 PM
Civil Dawn
7:33 AM
Civil Dusk
8:23 PM
Southwest Pennyrile
Sunrise
8:00 AM
Sunset
7:58 PM
Civil Dawn
7:35 AM
Civil Dusk
8:24 PM
Barren River
Sunrise
7:56 AM
Sunset
7:54 PM
Civil Dawn
7:31 AM
Civil Dusk
8:20 PM
Louisville Metro
Sunrise
7:54 AM
Sunset
7:51 PM
Civil Dawn
7:27 AM
Civil Dusk
8:18 PM
Lincoln Trail
Sunrise
7:54 AM
Sunset
7:52 PM
Civil Dawn
7:28 AM
Civil Dusk
8:18 PM
Lake Cumberland
Sunrise
7:49 AM
Sunset
7:47 PM
Civil Dawn
7:23 AM
Civil Dusk
8:13 PM
Northern Kentucky
Sunrise
7:49 AM
Sunset
7:46 PM
Civil Dawn
7:22 AM
Civil Dusk
8:13 PM
Inner Bluegrass
Sunrise
7:49 AM
Sunset
7:46 PM
Civil Dawn
7:22 AM
Civil Dusk
8:13 PM
Bluegrass Foothills
Sunrise
7:48 AM
Sunset
7:46 PM
Civil Dawn
7:22 AM
Civil Dusk
8:12 PM
Northeast Kentucky
Sunrise
7:41 AM
Sunset
7:39 PM
Civil Dawn
7:15 AM
Civil Dusk
8:05 PM
Southeast Kentucky
Sunrise
7:43 AM
Sunset
7:41 PM
Civil Dawn
7:17 AM
Civil Dusk
8:07 PM

Dive Deeper Into the Models

This forecast is a synthesis of raw data from the NAM, GFS, ECMWF, and GEM models. These models provide detailed atmospheric analyses including 500mb vorticity, precipitation rates, and more. You can take a look at the raw model data by clicking the links below.