Sunday, March 15
NWS Alerts Active This Day
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 14 at 10:45AM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
WHAT South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 to 50 mph.
WHERE Portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri.
WHEN From 10 AM CDT /11 AM EDT/ Sunday to 7 AM CDT /8 AM EDT/ Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 14 at 11:50AM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.
WHERE Portions of south central Indiana and central Kentucky.
WHEN From 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ Sunday to 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Flood Warning
Flood Warning issued March 14 at 12:03PM CDT until March 16 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Kentucky...Illinois... Ohio River at Shawneetown affecting Hardin, Gallatin, Union and Crittenden Counties. .Minor flooding is occurring on the Ohio River due to recent heavy rainfall across the region. At Shawneetown, the river is forecast to remain above flood stage until Monday morning. For the Ohio River...including Owensboro, Newburgh Dam, Evansville, Henderson, Mount Vernon, J.T. Myers Dam, Shawneetown, Golconda, Smithland Dam, Paducah, Olmsted Lock and Dam, Cairo...Minor flooding is forecast.
WHAT Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
WHERE Ohio River at Shawneetown.
WHEN Until early Monday morning.
IMPACTS At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs affecting mainly bottomland and surrounding low lying areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 11:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 34.6 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 11:30 AM CDT Saturday was 35.5 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage tomorrow evening and continue falling to 20.9 feet Tuesday, March 24. - Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 14 at 3:00PM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke.
WHERE Whitley County, mainly west of I-75 and north of KY-478. KY-90 between US-25W and the Cumberland Falls State Resort Park Routes will be particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke.
WHEN From 6 PM this evening to noon EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 14 at 3:00PM EDT until March 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE Bath, Estill, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell, Rockcastle, and Jackson Counties.
WHEN From 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke tonight and Sunday morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 14 at 3:00PM EDT until March 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT For the Dense Smoke Advisory, localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE For the Dense Smoke Advisory, locally dense smoke is expected west of I-75, primarily over northern McCreary, northern Wayne, southern Pulaski and southwestern Laurel Counties. Routes particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke will be KY-90 between Cumberland Falls State Resort Park and Monticello; KY-27 from Pine Knot to Somerset; KY-192 between London and Somerset; and the Hal Rogers Parkway from I-75 to the vicinity of Somerset. For the Wind Advisory, all of Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, and Wayne Counties.
WHEN For the Dense Smoke Advisory, from 6 PM this evening to noon EDT Sunday. For the Wind Advisory, from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke tonight and Sunday morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 14 at 3:00PM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT For the Dense Smoke Advisory, localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE For the Dense Smoke Advisory, locally dense smoke is expected west of I-75, primarily over northern McCreary, northern Wayne, southern Pulaski and southwestern Laurel Counties. Routes particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke will be KY-90 between Cumberland Falls State Resort Park and Monticello; KY-27 from Pine Knot to Somerset; KY-192 between London and Somerset; and the Hal Rogers Parkway from I-75 to the vicinity of Somerset. For the Wind Advisory, all of Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, and Wayne Counties.
WHEN For the Dense Smoke Advisory, from 6 PM this evening to noon EDT Sunday. For the Wind Advisory, from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke tonight and Sunday morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 14 at 3:00PM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke.
WHERE Portions of Clay and Leslie County. Routes most prone to impacts from dense smoke will be the Hal Rogers Parkway between Manchester and Thousandsticks; as well as US-421 and KY-66 in the vicinity of Big Creek and Peabody.
WHEN From 6 PM this evening to noon EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke tonight and Sunday morning.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 14 at 7:39PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northern Kentucky, and central, south central, southwest, and west central Ohio.
WHEN From 11 AM Sunday to 8 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 14 at 10:55PM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke.
WHERE Whitley County, mainly west of I-75 and north of KY-478. KY-90 between US-25W and the Cumberland Falls State Resort Park routes will be particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke.
WHEN Until noon EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke overnight and Sunday morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 14 at 10:55PM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT For the Dense Smoke Advisory, localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE For the Dense Smoke Advisory, locally dense smoke is expected west of I-75, primarily over northern McCreary, northern Wayne, southern Pulaski and southwestern Laurel Counties. Routes particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke will be KY-90 between Cumberland Falls State Resort Park and Monticello; KY-27 from Pine Knot to Somerset; KY-192 between London and Somerset; and the Hal Rogers Parkway from I-75 to the vicinity of Somerset. For the Wind Advisory, all of Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, and Wayne Counties.
WHEN For the Dense Smoke Advisory, until noon EDT Sunday. For the Wind Advisory, from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke overnight and Sunday morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 14 at 10:55PM EDT until March 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT For the Dense Smoke Advisory, localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE For the Dense Smoke Advisory, locally dense smoke is expected west of I-75, primarily over northern McCreary, northern Wayne, southern Pulaski and southwestern Laurel Counties. Routes particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke will be KY-90 between Cumberland Falls State Resort Park and Monticello; KY-27 from Pine Knot to Somerset; KY-192 between London and Somerset; and the Hal Rogers Parkway from I-75 to the vicinity of Somerset. For the Wind Advisory, all of Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, and Wayne Counties.
WHEN For the Dense Smoke Advisory, until noon EDT Sunday. For the Wind Advisory, from 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke overnight and Sunday morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 14 at 10:55PM EDT until March 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE Bath, Estill, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell, Rockcastle, and Jackson Counties.
WHEN From 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 14 at 10:55PM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke.
WHERE Portions of Clay and Leslie County. Routes most prone to impacts from dense smoke will be the Hal Rogers Parkway between Manchester and Thousandsticks; as well as US-421 and KY-66 in the vicinity of Big Creek and Peabody.
WHEN Until noon EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke overnight and Sunday morning.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 14 at 11:55PM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT For the Dense Smoke Advisory, localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE For the Dense Smoke Advisory, locally dense smoke is expected west of I-75, primarily over northern McCreary, northern Wayne, southern Pulaski and southwestern Laurel Counties. Routes particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke will be KY-90 between Cumberland Falls State Resort Park and Monticello; KY-27 from Pine Knot to Somerset; KY-192 between London and Somerset; and the Hal Rogers Parkway from I-75 to the vicinity of Somerset. For the Wind Advisory, all of Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, and Wayne Counties.
WHEN For the Dense Smoke Advisory, until noon EDT Sunday. For the Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke overnight and Sunday morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 14 at 11:55PM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke.
WHERE Portions of Clay and Leslie County. Routes most prone to impacts from dense smoke will be the Hal Rogers Parkway between Manchester andThousandsticks; as well as US-421 and KY-66 in the vicinity of Big Creek and Peabody.
WHEN Until noon EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke overnight and Sunday morning.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 14 at 11:55PM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke.
WHERE Whitley County, mainly west of I-75 and north of KY-478. KY-90 between US-25W and the Cumberland Falls State Resort Park routes will be particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke.
WHEN Until noon EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke overnight and Sunday morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 14 at 11:55PM EDT until March 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE Bath, Estill, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell, Rockcastle, and Jackson Counties.
WHEN From 9 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 14 at 11:55PM EDT until March 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT For the Dense Smoke Advisory, localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE For the Dense Smoke Advisory, locally dense smoke is expected west of I-75, primarily over northern McCreary, northern Wayne, southern Pulaski and southwestern Laurel Counties. Routes particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke will be KY-90 between Cumberland Falls State Resort Park and Monticello; KY-27 from Pine Knot to Somerset; KY-192 between London and Somerset; and the Hal Rogers Parkway from I-75 to the vicinity of Somerset. For the Wind Advisory, all of Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, and Wayne Counties.
WHEN For the Dense Smoke Advisory, until noon EDT Sunday. For the Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke overnight and Sunday morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:30AM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
WHAT South winds 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. South winds will shift to northwest tonight.
WHERE All of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri.
WHEN From 10 AM CDT /11 AM EDT/ this morning to 7 AM CDT /8 AM EDT/ Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Secure outdoor objects.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 2:21AM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. South winds will shift to west winds tonight.
WHERE Portions of south central Indiana and central Kentucky.
WHEN From 9 AM EDT /8 AM CDT/ this morning to 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 2:24AM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts around 45 mph expected.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northern Kentucky, and central, south central, southwest, and west central Ohio.
WHEN From 11 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued March 15 at 2:58AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
Gusty south winds will increase late this morning and then continue into tonight as a strong low pressure system moves through the Great Lakes. Wind gusts of 35 to 40 mph will be possible at times. The gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 8:22AM EDT until March 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT For the Dense Smoke Advisory, localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE For the Dense Smoke Advisory, locally dense smoke is expected west of I-75, primarily over northern McCreary, northern Wayne, southern Pulaski and southwestern Laurel Counties. Routes particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke will be KY-90 between Cumberland Falls State Resort Park and Monticello; US-27 from Pine Knot to Somerset; KY-192 between London and Somerset; and the Hal Rogers Parkway from I-75 to the vicinity of Somerset. For the Wind Advisory, all of Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, and Wayne Counties.
WHEN For the Dense Smoke Advisory, until noon EDT today. For the Wind Advisory, until 8 PM EDT this evening.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke this morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 8:22AM EDT until March 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.
WHERE Bath, Estill, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Powell, Rockcastle, and Jackson Counties.
WHEN Until 8 PM EDT this evening.
IMPACTS Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 15 at 8:22AM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke.
WHERE Whitley County, mainly west of I-75 and north of KY-478. KY-90 between US-25W and the Cumberland Falls State Resort Park routes will be particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke.
WHEN Until noon EDT today.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke this morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 15 at 8:22AM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT For the Dense Smoke Advisory, localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE For the Dense Smoke Advisory, locally dense smoke is expected west of I-75, primarily over northern McCreary, northern Wayne, southern Pulaski and southwestern Laurel Counties. Routes particularly prone to impacts from dense smoke will be KY-90 between Cumberland Falls State Resort Park and Monticello; US-27 from Pine Knot to Somerset; KY-192 between London and Somerset; and the Hal Rogers Parkway from I-75 to the vicinity of Somerset. For the Wind Advisory, all of Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, and Wayne Counties.
WHEN For the Dense Smoke Advisory, until noon EDT today. For the Wind Advisory, until 8 PM EDT this evening.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke this morning. Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Dense Smoke Advisory
Dense Smoke Advisory issued March 15 at 8:22AM EDT until March 15 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Localized visibility to under 1/4 mile possible in dense smoke.
WHERE Portions of Clay and Leslie County. Routes most prone to impacts from dense smoke will be the Hal Rogers Parkway between Manchester andThousandsticks; as well as US-421 and KY-66 in the vicinity of Big Creek and Peabody..
WHEN Until noon EDT today.
IMPACTS Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous in smoke this morning.
Persons with respiratory illnesses should remain indoors to avoid inhaling smoke. If driving through dense smoke, slow down, use your low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 10:33AM EDT until March 15 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.
WHERE Portions of east central, south central, and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN Until 8 PM EDT this evening.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 10:45AM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
WHAT Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
WHERE Portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri.
WHEN Until 7 AM CDT /8 AM EDT/ Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Secure outdoor objects.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:27PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts around 45 mph expected. Isolated gusts near 50 MPH are possible.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northern Kentucky, and central, south central, southwest, and west central Ohio.
WHEN Until 8 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:27PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts around 45 mph expected.
WHERE In Kentucky, Lewis County. In Ohio, Hocking, Adams, Pike, Ross, and Scioto Counties.
WHEN From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The gustiest winds are expected just ahead of, and coincident with, the arrival of the squall line and the cold front.
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued March 15 at 12:30PM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
Southerly winds at 10 to 15 mph will gust to between 25 and 35 mph at times. These gusty winds will combine with relative humidity levels in the 25 to 40 percent range leading to elevated fire danger. Any new fires could spread rapidly. Remember that Kentucky regulations make it illegal to burn between the hours of 6 AM and 6 PM within 150 feet of any woodland or brushland during the Spring Forest Fire Season.
Flood Warning
Flood Warning issued March 15 at 11:33AM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Illinois...Kentucky... Ohio River at Shawneetown affecting Crittenden, Hardin, Union and Gallatin Counties. For the Ohio River. at Shawneetown.
WHAT Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
WHERE Ohio River at Shawneetown.
WHEN Until tomorrow morning.
IMPACTS At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs affecting mainly bottomland and surrounding low lying areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 10:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 33.4 feet. - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending at 10:30 AM CDT Sunday was 34.7 feet. - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 33.5 feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage just after midnight tonight. - Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks. Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:36PM EDT until March 16 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph through early evening. Another round of south to southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected late tonight.
WHERE Portions of east central, south central, and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN Until 6 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevated fire danger is forecast through this evening. Any new fires could spread rapidly. Remember that Kentucky regulations make it illegal to burn between the hours of 6 AM and 6 PM within 150 feet of any woodland or brushland during the Spring Forest Fire Season.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:36PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.
WHERE Portions of east central, northeast, south central, and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 1:47PM EDT until March 16 at 11:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV
WHAT South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.
WHERE Portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, southwest Virginia, and central, northeast, northern, southeast, southern, and western West Virginia.
WHEN From midnight tonight to 11 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and scattered power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds are expected just ahead of, coincident with, and just behind the cold front.
Additional information can be found at https://www.weather.gov/rlx as well as on our X and Facebook pages.
High Wind Warning
High Wind Warning issued March 15 at 1:47PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT South winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northern Kentucky, and central, southwest, and west central Ohio.
WHEN Until 8 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.
Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 1:47PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.
WHERE In Kentucky, Bracken, Mason, and Robertson Counties. In Ohio, Delaware, Fairfield, Franklin, Licking, Pickaway, Highland, and Brown Counties.
WHEN Until 8 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 1:47PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.
WHERE In Kentucky, Lewis County. In Ohio, Hocking, Adams, Pike, Ross, and Scioto Counties.
WHEN From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 12:59PM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
WHAT West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.
WHERE Portions of southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri.
WHEN Until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
High Wind Warning
High Wind Warning issued March 15 at 12:59PM CDT until March 15 at 9:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
WHAT South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.
WHERE Portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri.
WHEN Until 9 PM CDT this evening.
IMPACTS Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.
Remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Watch for falling debris and tree limbs. Use caution if you must drive.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 15 at 2:13PM EDT until March 17 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Snow showers expected with snow squalls possible. Total snow accumulations of up to 2 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph as temperatures fall into the 20s at lower elevations and 10s above 2,500 feet. Sudden visibility reductions to 1/4 mile or less possible in snow squalls.
WHERE Harlan and Letcher Counties.
WHEN From noon Monday to 8 AM EDT Tuesday.
IMPACTS Plan on slippery road conditions, especially at elevations above 2,500 feet. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday evening commute.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.
Tornado Watch
Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 3:58PM CDT until March 15 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 55 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT /MIDNIGHT EDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN ILLINOIS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 19 COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS EDWARDS IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS ALEXANDER FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON MASSAC PERRY POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION WABASH WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON IN INDIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA POSEY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA GIBSON PIKE SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK IN KENTUCKY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 22 COUNTIES IN WESTERN KENTUCKY BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON MARSHALL MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG UNION WEBSTER IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 11 COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU CARTER MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID PERRY RIPLEY SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ALBION, BARDWELL, BENTON, BLOOMFIELD, BOONVILLE, CADIZ, CAIRO, CALHOUN, CAPE GIRARDEAU, CARBONDALE, CARMI, CHARLESTON, CLINTON, DIXON, DONIPHAN, EDDYVILLE, ELIZABETHTOWN, ELKTON, EVANSVILLE, FAIRFIELD, FORT BRANCH, GOLCONDA, GRAYVILLE, GREENVILLE, HARRISBURG, HENDERSON, HERRIN, HICKMAN, HOPKINSVILLE, JACKSON, JONESBORO, MADISONVILLE, MARBLE HILL, MARION, MAYFIELD, MCLEANSBORO, METROPOLIS, MORGANFIELD, MOUND CITY, MOUNT CARMEL, MOUNT VERNON, MURPHYSBORO, MURRAY, NEW MADRID, OWENSBORO, PADUCAH, PERRYVILLE, PETERSBURG, PIEDMONT, PINCKNEYVILLE, POPLAR BLUFF, POSEYVILLE, PRINCETON, ROCKPORT, SHAWNEETOWN, SIKESTON, SMITHLAND, VAN BUREN, VIENNA, WEST FRANKFORT, WEST SALEM, AND WICKLIFFE.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 4:59PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.
WHERE Portions of south central Indiana and east central, north central, northwest, and south central Kentucky.
WHEN Until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 7:15PM EDT until March 16 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph through early evening. Another round of south to southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected late tonight.
WHERE Portions of east central, south central, and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN Until 6 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Elevated fire danger is forecast through this evening. Any new fires could spread rapidly. Remember that Kentucky regulations make it illegal to burn between the hours of 6 AM and 6 PM within 150 feet of any woodland or brushland during the Spring Forest Fire Season.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 7:15PM EDT until March 16 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.
WHERE Portions of east central, northeast, south central, and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Tornado Watch
Tornado Watch issued March 15 at 6:35PM CDT until March 15 at 11:00PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
TORNADO WATCH 55 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 11 PM CDT /MIDNIGHT EDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN ILLINOIS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 19 COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS EDWARDS IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS ALEXANDER FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON MASSAC PERRY POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION WABASH WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON IN INDIANA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA POSEY IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA GIBSON PIKE SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK IN KENTUCKY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 22 COUNTIES IN WESTERN KENTUCKY BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON MARSHALL MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG UNION WEBSTER IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID PERRY SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ALBION, BARDWELL, BENTON, BLOOMFIELD, BOONVILLE, CADIZ, CAIRO, CALHOUN, CAPE GIRARDEAU, CARBONDALE, CARMI, CHARLESTON, CLINTON, DIXON, EDDYVILLE, ELIZABETHTOWN, ELKTON, EVANSVILLE, FAIRFIELD, FORT BRANCH, GOLCONDA, GRAYVILLE, GREENVILLE, HARRISBURG, HENDERSON, HERRIN, HICKMAN, HOPKINSVILLE, JACKSON, JONESBORO, MADISONVILLE, MARBLE HILL, MARION, MAYFIELD, MCLEANSBORO, METROPOLIS, MORGANFIELD, MOUND CITY, MOUNT CARMEL, MOUNT VERNON, MURPHYSBORO, MURRAY, NEW MADRID, OWENSBORO, PADUCAH, PERRYVILLE, PETERSBURG, PIEDMONT, PINCKNEYVILLE, POPLAR BLUFF, POSEYVILLE, PRINCETON, ROCKPORT, SHAWNEETOWN, SIKESTON, SMITHLAND, VIENNA, WEST FRANKFORT, WEST SALEM, AND WICKLIFFE.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 6:48PM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
WHAT West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.
WHERE Portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri.
WHEN Until 7 AM CDT Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Wind Advisory
Wind Advisory issued March 15 at 6:48PM CDT until March 16 at 7:00AM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
WHAT West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.
WHERE Portions of southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri.
WHEN Until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ Monday.
IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued March 15 at 6:52PM CDT until March 15 at 7:30PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
SVRPAH The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Union County in southern Illinois... Pulaski County in southern Illinois... Western Johnson County in southern Illinois... Williamson County in southern Illinois... Southern Jackson County in southern Illinois... Alexander County in southern Illinois... North central Ballard County in western Kentucky... Northern Scott County in southeastern Missouri... Southeastern Perry County in southeastern Missouri... Central Cape Girardeau County in southeastern Missouri... Northern Stoddard County in southeastern Missouri... * Until 730 PM CDT. * At 652 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Murphysboro to near Oran, moving east at 50 mph.
HAZARD 60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE Radar indicated.
IMPACT Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... Cape Girardeau, Carbondale, Marion, Jackson, Herrin, Murphysboro, Carterville, Scott City, Anna, Johnston City, Chaffee, Jonesboro, Trail Of Tears State Park, Crainville, Cambria, Cobden, Energy, Goreville, Dongola, and Tamms. This includes the following highways... Interstate 24 in Illinois between Mile Markers 1 and 11. Interstate 57 in Illinois between Mile Markers 10 and 60. Interstate 55 between Mile Markers 84 and 110.
Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the basement or small central room in a sturdy structure. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for southern Illinois...western Kentucky...and southeastern Missouri.
How Did We Do?
Comparing our AI forecast to actual observations from Sunday, March 15, 2026.
Regional Assessments
Purchase Area
Northwest Pennyrile
Southwest Pennyrile
Barren River
Louisville Metro
Lincoln Trail
Lake Cumberland
Northern Kentucky
Inner Bluegrass
Bluegrass Foothills
Northeast Kentucky
Southeast Kentucky
High Wind Warning West; Late Temp Crash and Rain
A potent cold front will sweep across Kentucky on Sunday, bringing a dramatic shift in conditions. Much of the state will enjoy unseasonable warmth in the 70s under blustery conditions, but a sharp temperature drop and soaking rain will impact Western Kentucky by the evening. Damaging non-thunderstorm wind gusts of 45-55 mph are likely state-wide.
Confidence Assessment
High confidence exists regarding the temperature crash in the west and state-wide high winds. Moderate confidence remains on the eastward extent of the rainfall shield due to the conflicting moisture profiles between the Euro and other models.
Get Personalized Forecasts
Choose which region in Kentucky you're interested in and we'll always show you that one first. You can change your selected region by clicking the "Star" icon on any regional forecast.
Purchase Area
Expect a very windy day followed by a soaking rain arriving after 6 PM. Temperatures will plummet from the 70s into the 40s once the front passes.
Northwest Pennyrile
Extremely windy conditions will prevail all day with gusts near 50 mph. Light to moderate rain arrives late this evening.
Southwest Pennyrile
A very windy day with gusts over 45 mph. Rain will hold off until late evening with temperatures staying mild until after midnight.
Barren River
The main story is the wind, with gusts potentially topping 50 mph. Only a few light sprinkles are expected late tonight.
Louisville Metro
A warm but very windy day for the city. Gusts will reach near 50 mph at times, but significant rain will stay west of the metro through midnight.
Lincoln Trail
High winds will whip across the escarpment today with gusts near 50 mph. It will remain warm and dry for the duration of the day.
Lake Cumberland
A beautiful but breezy day at the lake. Temperatures will stay mild with no rain expected through tonight.
Northern Kentucky
Expect plenty of sunshine but very strong winds. Gusts will frequently top 40 mph today with highs in the 70s.
Inner Bluegrass
A very windy Sunday for Central Kentucky. Wind gusts will reach 45-50 mph, making outdoor activities difficult despite the warm temperatures.
Bluegrass Foothills
Enjoy unseasonably warm temperatures in the 70s today, but be prepared for high wind gusts throughout the afternoon.
Northeast Kentucky
The warmest region in the state today with plenty of sun and highs in the mid-70s. Winds will be gusty but less intense than in the west.
Southeast Kentucky
A very pleasant day for the mountains with mild temperatures and sunshine. Higher ridges will feel the wind, but valleys will remain relatively calm.
Possible Outcomes
Weather forecasting involves uncertainty. Below are two scenarios representing the range of possible outcomes: the "Boom" scenario shows the worst-case/highest-impact result if conditions align unfavorably, while the "Bust" scenario shows the best-case/lowest-impact result if the forecast doesn't materialize as expected.
The 'Boom' Scenario
The 'Boom' Scenario: If the frontal timing accelerates and moisture overcomes the dry slot early, a half-inch of rain could reach the I-65 corridor before midnight, accompanied by wind gusts exceeding 55 mph if mixing depths reach the 800mb level.
The 'Bust' Scenario
The 'Bust' Scenario: If the deep dry air (dewpoint depressions > 20F) remains entrenched, precipitation may evaporate as virga for everyone east of the Purchase, and wind gusts could be capped near 40 mph if cloud cover limits surface heating.
Model Disagreements
When models disagree, a call must be made to determine the most likely outcome. This decision is based on a combination of factors including model performance, historical data, and the models general accounting of each climatic region of Kentucky.
The Momentum Transfer War
Disagreement exists on the magnitude of surface wind gusts. The NAM and GFS suggest widespread 45-55 mph gusts, while the Euro is much more conservative with 25-35 mph gusts.
Why GFS Wins
Given the 50kt LLJ and 70-degree surface temperatures, deep mixing is almost certain. The Euro's boundary layer physics often under-forecasts momentum transfer in high-shear, low-CAPE scenarios.
The Central KY Moisture Cutoff
The ECMWF (Euro) is a significant outlier, forecasting 0.5 inches of rain as far east as Louisville and Bowling Green by late evening. The NAM, GFS, and GEM maintain a much drier solution, keeping significant rain restricted to the western third of the state while the east remains dry due to high dewpoint depressions.
Why NAM Wins
The NAM and GEM better resolve the significant dry air (15-20F dewpoint depressions) in the pre-frontal environment. History suggests the Euro 'smears' light QPF into dry air too aggressively in these high-momentum setups.
Celestial Almanac
Waning Crescent
Purchase Area
Northwest Pennyrile
Southwest Pennyrile
Barren River
Louisville Metro
Lincoln Trail
Lake Cumberland
Northern Kentucky
Inner Bluegrass
Bluegrass Foothills
Northeast Kentucky
Southeast Kentucky
Dive Deeper Into the Models
This forecast is a synthesis of raw data from the NAM, GFS, ECMWF, and GEM models. These models provide detailed atmospheric analyses including 500mb vorticity, precipitation rates, and more. You can take a look at the raw model data by clicking the links below.