Monday, March 2
NWS Alerts Active This Day
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 1 at 12:33PM EST until March 2 at 11:00AM EST by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches, with isolated higher amounts. Total ice accumulations of a light glaze are possible.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northern Kentucky, and south central and southwest Ohio.
WHEN From 3 AM to 11 AM EST Monday.
IMPACTS Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Indiana, visit 511in.org or call 1-800-261-7623 for the latest road information. In Kentucky, visit goky.ky.gov for the latest road information. In Ohio, visit ohgo.com for the latest road information.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 1 at 12:33PM EST until March 2 at 11:00AM EST by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations up to one inch, with ice accumulations of several hundredths possible.
WHERE Lewis, Bracken, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton, and Robertson Counties.
WHEN From 3 AM to 11 AM EST Monday.
IMPACTS Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. visit goky.ky.gov for the latest road information. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 1 at 1:46PM EST until March 2 at 12:00PM EST by NWS Charleston WV
WHAT Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze to a few hundredths of an inch.
WHERE Portions of the middle Ohio Valley and central West Virginia.
WHEN From 4 AM to noon EST Monday.
IMPACTS Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.
Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1 or by accessing the online traffic and roadway portal for your state. Additional information can be found at https://www.weather.gov/rlx as well as on our X and Facebook pages.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued March 1 at 1:49PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
A system moving into the area overnight will bring a mixed bag of precipitation through mid-morning on Monday. Precipitation will start as snow but quickly transition to a wintry mix by the morning commute. A light coating of snow, mainly along the I-64 corridor, and icy spots will be possible especially on bridges and overpasses. While surface temperatures will hover around freezing, some slick travel will be possible during the Monday morning commute. Motorists are encouraged to slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination Monday morning.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued March 1 at 2:59PM EST by NWS Louisville KY
Late tonight, a weather disturbance will move into the region from the west. Precipitation will likely start off as snow across much of southern Indiana, but a wintry mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain will be possible, mainly in areas north of a line from Hawesville to Elizabethtown to Richmond. A slushy accumulation of up to one inch will be possible in areas along and north of the I-64 corridor. Just to the south of the I-64 corridor a light coating of snow with a light glaze of ice will be possible. While surface temperatures will be right at freezing, some slick travel will be possible during the Monday morning commute, especially on bridges and overpasses. Stay up to date with the latest forecasts and allow extra time to reach your destination Monday morning. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and your local media for the latest forecast updates.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued March 1 at 4:29PM EST by NWS Charleston WV
A disturbance will bring a mixed bag of precipitation through mid-morning on Monday. Icy spots will be possible especially on bridges and overpasses, before precipitation transitions to all rain. While surface temperatures will hover around freezing, some slick travel will be possible during the Monday morning commute. Motorists are encouraged to slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination Monday morning.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 1 at 8:18PM EST until March 2 at 11:00AM EST by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to 1 inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze to a few hundredths of an inch.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northeast and northern Kentucky, and south central and southwest Ohio.
WHEN From 3 AM to 11 AM EST Monday.
IMPACTS Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Indiana, visit 511in.org or call 1-800-261-7623 for the latest road information. In Kentucky, visit goky.ky.gov for the latest road information. In Ohio, visit ohgo.com for the latest road information. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 1 at 8:29PM EST until March 2 at 12:00PM EST by NWS Charleston WV
WHAT Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze to a few hundredths of an inch.
WHERE Portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, and central, northern, southern, and western West Virginia.
WHEN From 4 AM to noon EST Monday.
IMPACTS Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.
Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1 or by accessing the online traffic and roadway portal for your state. Additional information can be found at https://www.weather.gov/rlx as well as on our X and Facebook pages.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 1 at 9:44PM EST until March 2 at 10:00AM EST by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Light snow, mixed with sleet and some freezing rain. Total snow accumulations of coating to one inch possible. A light glaze on elevated surfaces is also possible.
WHERE Portions of south central Indiana and east central and north central Kentucky.
WHEN From 2 AM to 10 AM EST Monday.
IMPACTS Untreated roads, bridges, and overpasses may become slick. Plan on slippery road conditions. The Monday morning commute could be negatively impacted.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Indiana, for Indiana Road Conditions please visit http://511in.org In Kentucky, for Kentucky Road Conditions please visit http://goky.ky.gov
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 2 at 12:49AM EST until March 2 at 12:00PM EST by NWS Charleston WV
WHAT Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze to a few hundredths of an inch.
WHERE Portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, and central, northern, southern, and western West Virginia.
WHEN From 4 AM early this morning to noon EST today.
IMPACTS Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1 or by accessing the online traffic and roadway portal for your state. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. Additional information can be found at https://www.weather.gov/rlx as well as on our X and Facebook pages.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 2 at 1:53AM EST until March 2 at 11:00AM EST by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch, with ice accumulations of up to a tenth of an inch.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northeast and northern Kentucky, and south central and southwest Ohio.
WHEN Until 11 AM EST this morning.
IMPACTS Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Indiana, visit 511in.org or call 1-800-261-7623 for the latest road information. In Kentucky, visit goky.ky.gov for the latest road information. In Ohio, visit ohgo.com for the latest road information. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued March 2 at 1:59AM EST by NWS Charleston WV
A disturbance will bring a mixed bag of precipitation through mid-morning today. Icy spots will be possible especially on bridges and overpasses, before precipitation transitions to all rain. While surface temperatures will hover around freezing, some slick travel will be possible during the morning commute. Motorists are encouraged to slow down and allow extra time to reach their destination this morning.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued March 2 at 2:25AM EST by NWS Jackson KY
A system moving into the area may bring a wintry mix of precipitation during the morning commute until a few hours after sunrise today. Precipitation may start as snow, but quickly transition to a mix. A light coating of snow cannot be ruled out, but a light glaze of ice may develop on untreated bridges, overpasses, and other elevated surfaces. Thus, a few slick or icy spots are possible during the morning commute. Motorists are encouraged to slow down and allow plenty of extra time to reach your destination Monday morning.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 2 at 2:40AM EST until March 2 at 11:00AM EST by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Mixed precipitation expected. A light glaze of ice is anticipated on elevated surfaces. Minor snow and sleet accumulations of less than one inch are also possible.
WHERE Bath, Elliott, Fleming, and Rowan Counties.
WHEN Until 11 AM EST this morning.
IMPACTS Untreated bridges, overpasses, and other elevated surfaces could become slick. Slippery road conditions could impact the Monday morning commute and linger through midday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures are forecast to rise well above freezing by late Monday afternoon and remain relatively warmer overnight into Tuesday. This should allow any accumulations to melt off.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 2 at 5:37AM EST until March 2 at 10:00AM EST by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Light snow, mixed with sleet and some freezing rain. Total snow accumulations of a coating to one inch possible. A light glaze on elevated surfaces is also possible.
WHERE Portions of south central Indiana and east central and north central Kentucky.
WHEN Until 10 AM EST this morning.
IMPACTS Untreated roads, bridges, and overpasses may become slick. Plan on slippery road conditions. The Monday morning commute could be negatively impacted.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Indiana, for Indiana Road Conditions please visit http://511in.org In Kentucky, for Kentucky Road Conditions please visit http://goky.ky.gov
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued March 2 at 5:42AM EST by NWS Louisville KY
A weather disturbance moving in from the west will bring a period of mainly rain to the region. However, some sleet and freezing rain may mix in with the snow at times this morning as temperatures remain at or just above freezing. A very minor accumulation of slushy sleet and snow could occur. A few slick spots, especially on bridges and overpasses will be possible in areas along and north of the I-64 corridor. Stay up to date with the latest forecasts and allow extra time to reach your destination this morning.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 2 at 7:20AM EST until March 2 at 11:00AM EST by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch, with ice accumulations of up to a tenth of an inch.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northeast and northern Kentucky, and south central and southwest Ohio.
WHEN Until 11 AM EST this morning.
IMPACTS Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Indiana, visit 511in.org or call 1-800-261-7623 for the latest road information. In Kentucky, visit goky.ky.gov for the latest road information. In Ohio, visit ohgo.com for the latest road information. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 2 at 8:43AM EST until March 2 at 12:00PM EST by NWS Charleston WV
WHAT Mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations one to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze to a few hundredths of an inch.
WHERE Portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, and central, northeast, northern, southeast, southern, and western West Virginia.
WHEN Until noon EST today.
IMPACTS Plan on slippery road conditions.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1 or by accessing the online traffic and roadway portal for your state. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. Additional information can be found at https://www.weather.gov/rlx as well as on our X and Facebook pages.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 2 at 9:18AM EST until March 2 at 11:00AM EST by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Mixed precipitation expected. A light glaze of ice is anticipated on elevated surfaces. Minor snow and sleet accumulations of less than one inch are also possible.
WHERE Bath, Elliott, Fleming, and Rowan Counties.
WHEN Until 11 AM EST this morning.
IMPACTS Untreated bridges, overpasses, and other elevated surfaces could become slick. Slippery road conditions could impact the Monday morning commute and linger through midday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures are forecast to rise well above freezing by late Monday afternoon and remain relatively warmer overnight into Tuesday. This should allow any accumulations to melt off.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued March 2 at 9:26AM EST by NWS Jackson KY
A system moving into the area will continue to bring a wintry mix of precipitation through mid-morning. A light coating of snow cannot be ruled out, and a light glaze of ice may develop on untreated bridges, overpasses, and other elevated surfaces. Thus, a few slick or icy spots are possible during the morning commute. Motorists are encouraged to slow down and allow plenty of extra time to reach your destination Monday morning.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 2 at 10:48AM EST until March 2 at 1:00PM EST by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations less than a half inch and ice accumulations around a light glaze.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northeast and northern Kentucky, and south central and southwest Ohio.
WHEN Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.
IMPACTS Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. In Indiana, visit 511in.org or call 1-800-261-7623 for the latest road information. In Kentucky, visit goky.ky.gov for the latest road information. In Ohio, visit ohgo.com for the latest road information. Be prepared for slippery roads. Slow down and use caution while driving. If you are going outside, watch your first few steps taken on stairs, sidewalks, and driveways. These surfaces could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued March 2 at 10:53AM EST until March 2 at 12:00PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Mixed precipitation expected. A light glaze of ice is anticipated on elevated surfaces. Minor snow and sleet accumulations of less than one inch are also possible.
WHERE Bath, Elliott, Fleming, and Rowan Counties.
WHEN Until noon EST today.
IMPACTS Untreated bridges, overpasses, and other elevated surfaces could become slick. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Temperatures are forecast to rise well above freezing by this afternoon and will remain relatively warmer overnight into Tuesday. This should allow any accumulations to melt off.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.
How Did We Do?
Comparing our AI forecast to actual observations from Monday, March 2, 2026.
Regional Assessments
Purchase Area
Northwest Pennyrile
Southwest Pennyrile
Barren River
Louisville Metro
Lincoln Trail
Lake Cumberland
Northern Kentucky
Inner Bluegrass
Bluegrass Foothills
Northeast Kentucky
Southeast Kentucky
Winter Mix North, Soaking Rain South on Monday
A messy winter system will impact the Commonwealth on Monday, bringing a combination of snow, freezing rain, and cold rain. While Southern and Central Kentucky stay liquid, Northern and Northeastern regions face icing and slushy snow accumulations.
Confidence Assessment
Confidence is high for a widespread precipitation event, but low regarding the precise rain/snow/ice line. Small 1-degree shifts in the surface or 850mb temperatures will drastically alter accumulation types for the I-64 corridor.
Get Personalized Forecasts
Choose which region in Kentucky you're interested in and we'll always show you that one first. You can change your selected region by clicking the "Star" icon on any regional forecast.
Purchase Area
A wet and chilly day is in store for the Purchase region. Steady rain will move in during the early morning hours and continue through the afternoon. Wind gusts up to 30 mph are possible, making the 40-degree temperatures feel much colder.
Northwest Pennyrile
Expect a raw and rainy Monday. Precipitation will be steadiest during the morning hours, making for a slow commute. Temperatures will stay in the upper 30s to low 40s, keeping everything in the form of rain.
Southwest Pennyrile
Occasional rain showers will persist throughout the day. This area will be slightly warmer than northern regions, with highs reaching near 50 degrees.
Barren River
Rain will be most frequent in the morning, followed by a cloudy and damp afternoon. Highs will reach the low 50s.
Louisville Metro
It will be a raw, wet day for the metro. While it will feel wintry, temperatures will stay just above freezing, keeping the precipitation as a cold rain.
Lincoln Trail
Steady rain is expected for Elizabethtown and surrounding areas. Roads will be very wet, and wind chills will stay in the 20s.
Lake Cumberland
Rain will develop in the morning and last through much of the day. Temperatures will actually warm into the mid-50s by late afternoon.
Northern Kentucky
Northern Kentucky will see the most snow. Expect around 1.5 inches of slushy accumulation before a transition to rain in the afternoon.
Inner Bluegrass
A messy morning is expected for Lexington. Expect around 0.1 inches of ice accumulation on trees and bridges before a transition to rain.
Bluegrass Foothills
Rain and a few icy spots are possible early Monday. Temperatures will rise into the 40s by the afternoon, ending any wintry threat.
Northeast Kentucky
Significant icing of around 0.15 inches is possible in the northeastern valleys. Travel will be hazardous through the early afternoon.
Southeast Kentucky
A wet but mild day for the mountains. Rain will be steady at times, but temperatures will climb into the 50s.
Possible Outcomes
Weather forecasting involves uncertainty. Below are two scenarios representing the range of possible outcomes: the "Boom" scenario shows the worst-case/highest-impact result if conditions align unfavorably, while the "Bust" scenario shows the best-case/lowest-impact result if the forecast doesn't materialize as expected.
The 'Boom' Scenario
If the surface cold air damming (CAD) in Eastern Kentucky and the Northern Bluegrass proves more resilient than modeled, ice glaze totals could exceed 0.25 inches, and Northern Kentucky could see a more efficient 3-4 inch snowfall if the warm nose remains further south.
The 'Bust' Scenario
If the 850mb warm air advection scours out the surface cold layer faster (by 12Z-15Z), the icing threat would be limited to a very brief window of drizzle, with Northern Kentucky seeing only a slushy coating of snow before a rapid transition to rain.
Model Disagreements
When models disagree, a call must be made to determine the most likely outcome. This decision is based on a combination of factors including model performance, historical data, and the models general accounting of each climatic region of Kentucky.
NKY Snow Totals Displacement
The Euro is an outlier forecasting over 2 inches of snow for Northern KY, while the GFS/NAM/GEM clusters around 1 inch. The Euro assumes a deeper cold layer and higher snow-to-liquid ratios than the marginal thermal profile likely supports.
Why BLEND Wins
The Euro's high totals appear overdone given the warm ground temperatures and the predicted transition to freezing rain/rain. A blend provides a more realistic slushy accumulation expectation.
The Warm Nose War
A sharp disagreement exists regarding the depth and intensity of the sub-freezing surface layer. The NAM and GFS keep the Bluegrass and Northeast below freezing through mid-afternoon, suggesting significant icing. The Euro and GEM are more aggressive with surface warming, favoring a quicker transition to rain.
Why NAM Wins
The NAM is generally superior at resolving shallow cold air damming and the 'warm nose' structures in overrunning events within 48 hours. Its high vertical resolution better captures the 925mb-1000mb cold dome.
Celestial Almanac
Full Moon
Purchase Area
Northwest Pennyrile
Southwest Pennyrile
Barren River
Louisville Metro
Lincoln Trail
Lake Cumberland
Northern Kentucky
Inner Bluegrass
Bluegrass Foothills
Northeast Kentucky
Southeast Kentucky
Dive Deeper Into the Models
This forecast is a synthesis of raw data from the NAM, GFS, ECMWF, and GEM models. These models provide detailed atmospheric analyses including 500mb vorticity, precipitation rates, and more. You can take a look at the raw model data by clicking the links below.