Sunday, February 22
NWS Alerts Active This Day
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued February 21 at 1:42PM EST until February 23 at 6:00PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches. Higher accumulations to 5 inches possible over the higher terrain near the Virginia border.
WHERE Portions of northeast and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN From 11 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.
IMPACTS Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Gusts of 15 to 25 mph combined with falling snow may cause sudden visibility reductions during the daytime hours Sunday and Monday.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 21 at 1:58PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
Light snow accumulations are expected at times from late Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. Wind gusts of 15 to 25 mph combined with the falling snow may produce sudden sharp visibility reductions, especially during the daytime hours Sunday and Monday. Total snow accumulations of one-half to around 1 inch are expected, with locally higher amounts possible. Temperatures during this time will range from the 20s to the lower 30s, so minor impacts to travel are possible.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 21 at 4:31PM EST by NWS Louisville KY
An upper level weather disturbance will move across the region this afternoon and evening. Areas of light precipitation in the form of light rain, light sleet, and/or snow flurries will be possible across the area. Temperatures are expected to remain well above freezing, so no travel impacts are expected with this activity.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 21 at 10:59PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
Light snow accumulations are expected at times from late Sunday morning through Monday afternoon from rounds of snow showers. Wind gusts as high as 20 to 30 mph in the heavier snow showers, combined with the falling snow, may produce sudden sharp visibility reductions and quick light snow accumulations, especially during the daytime hours on Sunday and Monday. Event total snow accumulations of one-half to around 1 inch are expected, with locally higher amounts possible where snow showers are most persistent. Temperatures during this time will range from the 20s to the lower 30s, so minor impacts to travel are possible.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued February 21 at 11:11PM EST until February 23 at 6:00PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Rounds of snow showers are expected, resulting in event total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches for most locations, with locally higher amounts possible. Accumulations up to 5 inches are possible above 3000 feet elevation.
WHERE Portions of northeast and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN From 11 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.
IMPACTS Plan on slippery road conditions and significant differences in road conditions at times. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind gusts as high as 20 to 30 mph in the heavier snow showers, combined with the falling snow may cause sudden visibility reductions, mainly during the daytime hours Sunday and Monday.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 3:15AM EST by NWS Wilmington OH
Light snow will overspread the area from the northwest this morning. An increased coverage of snow showers is expected to develop this afternoon into the evening hours. Slick spots may develop on roads tonight as temperatures drop and northwest winds gust up to 30 mph. Coverage of snow showers is expected to decrease overnight before ending Monday morning. Most the area will see an accumulation of 1 to 2 inches. Locally higher amounts are possible in areas where heavier snow bands develop this afternoon into early evening. Roadways may become slick. If traveling, be alert, slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued February 22 at 3:20AM EST until February 23 at 6:00PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Rounds of snow showers are expected, resulting in event total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches for most locations, with locally higher amounts possible. Accumulations up to 5 inches are possible above 3000 feet elevation.
WHERE Portions of northeast and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN From 11 AM this morning to 6 PM EST Monday.
IMPACTS Plan on slippery road conditions and significant differences in road conditions at times. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind gusts as high as 20 to 30 mph in the heavier snow showers, combined with the falling snow may cause sudden visibility reductions, mainly during the daytime hours today and Monday.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued February 22 at 3:20AM EST until February 23 at 6:00PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to two inches.
WHERE Bell and Leslie Counties.
WHEN From 11 AM this morning to 6 PM EST Monday.
IMPACTS Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind gusts as high as 20 to 30 mph in the heavier snow showers, combined with the falling snow may cause sudden visibility reductions, mainly during the daytime hours today and Monday.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 4:10AM EST by NWS Jackson KY
Light snow accumulations are expected at times from this afternoon through Monday afternoon from rounds of snow showers. Wind gusts as high as 30 mph could occur in the heavier snow showers. This, when combined with the falling snow, may produce sudden sharp visibility reductions and quick light snow accumulations, especially during the daytime hours today and Monday. Event total snow accumulations of one-half to around 1 inch are expected, with locally higher amounts possible where snow showers are most persistent. Temperatures during this time will range from the 20s to the lower 30s, so minor impacts to travel are possible.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 4:39AM EST by NWS Louisville KY
Light snow accumulations are possible today and this evening as snow showers, and perhaps a few snow squalls, move across the area. Snow amounts up to half an inch are mostly expected, but could see isolated higher swaths from any heavier snow showers or squalls. Northwest winds will be gusting to 25-35 mph today, which could add to challenging driving conditions in addition to any briefly reduced visibility from snow showers. A few slick may be possible today, so use caution if you come across snow on any roads.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 6:04AM EST by NWS Charleston WV
Light snow accumulations are expected at times from this afternoon through Monday morning from rounds of snow showers. Wind gusts as high as 30 mph could occur in the heavier snow showers. The combination of falling snow and strong wind gusts may produce sudden sharp visibility reductions and quick light snow accumulations, especially during the daytime hours today and Monday. Most the area will see accumulations of around an inch or less. However, locally higher amounts are possible in areas where heavier snow bands develop this afternoon into early this evening. Roadways may become slick as a result. If traveling, be alert, slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 8:14AM EST by NWS Louisville KY
Light snow accumulations are possible today and this evening as snow showers, and perhaps a few snow squalls, move across the area. Snow amounts up to half an inch are mostly expected, but could see isolated higher swaths from any heavier snow showers or squalls. Northwest winds will be gusting to 25-35 mph today, which could add to challenging driving conditions in addition to any briefly reduced visibility from snow showers. A few slick may be possible today, so use caution if you come across snow on any roads.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 11:02AM EST by NWS Wilmington OH
Snow showers will continue this afternoon into the evening hours. Slick spots may develop on roads tonight as temperatures drop and northwest winds gust from 20 to 30 mph. Coverage of snow showers is expected to decrease overnight before ending Monday morning. Most the area will see an accumulation of one-half inch to 2 inches. Visibility will be restricted at times in the heavier showers. Roadways may become slick. If traveling, be alert, slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 12:01PM EST by NWS Charleston WV
Light snow accumulations are expected at times from this afternoon through Monday morning from rounds of snow showers. Wind gusts as high as 30 mph could occur in the heavier snow showers. The combination of falling snow and strong wind gusts may produce sudden sharp visibility reductions and quick light snow accumulations, especially during the daytime hours this afternoon through Monday. Most the area will see accumulations of around an inch or less. However, locally higher amounts are possible in areas where heavier snow bands develop this afternoon into early this evening. Roadways may become slick as a result. If traveling, be alert, slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 12:26PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
Light snow accumulations are expected at times from this afternoon through Monday afternoon from rounds of snow showers. Wind gusts as high as 30 mph could occur in the heavier snow showers. This, when combined with the falling snow, may produce sudden sharp visibility reductions and quick light snow accumulations, especially during the daytime hours today and Monday. Event total snow accumulations of one-half to around 1 inch are expected, with locally higher amounts possible where snow showers are most persistent. Temperatures during this time will range from the 20s to the lower 30s, so minor impacts to travel are possible.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 1:08PM EST by NWS Louisville KY
Light snow accumulations are possible today and this evening as snow showers, and perhaps a few snow squalls, move across the area. Snow amounts up to half an inch are mostly expected, but could see isolated higher swaths from any heavier snow showers or squalls. Northwest winds will be gusting to 25-35 mph today, which could add to challenging driving conditions in addition to any briefly reduced visibility from snow showers. A few slick may be possible today, so use caution if you come across snow on any roads.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 1:11PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
Light snow accumulations are expected at times from this afternoon through Monday afternoon from rounds of snow showers. Wind gusts as high as 30 mph could occur in the heavier snow showers. This, when combined with the falling snow, may produce sudden sharp visibility reductions and quick light snow accumulations, especially during the daytime hours today and Monday. Event total snow accumulations of one-half to around 1 inch are expected, with locally higher amounts possible where snow showers are most persistent. Temperatures during this time will range from the 20s to the lower 30s, so minor impacts to travel are possible.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 3:02PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
Minor snow accumulations are expected through Monday as rounds of snow showers track across the area. Wind gusts as high as 30 mph could occur in the heavier snow showers. This, when combined with the falling snow, may produce sudden sharp visibility reductions and quick light snow accumulations, especially through this evening and on Monday afternoon. Event total snow accumulations between a dusting and around 1 inch are expected, with locally higher amounts possible where snow showers are the most persistent. Air temperatures during this time will range from the 20s to the lower 30s, so minor impacts to travel are possible.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 3:08PM EST by NWS Louisville KY
Light snow accumulations are possible this afternoon and this evening as snow showers, and perhaps a few snow squalls, move across the area. Snow amounts up to a half inch are mostly expected, but could see isolated higher swaths from any heavier snow showers or squalls. Northwest winds will be gusting to 25-35 mph today, which could add to challenging driving conditions in addition to any briefly reduced visibility from snow showers. A few slick may be possible today, so use caution if you come across snow on any roads.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 3:08PM EST by NWS Louisville KY
Light snow accumulations are possible this afternoon and this evening as snow showers, and perhaps a few snow squalls, move across the area. Snow amounts up to a half inch are mostly expected, but could see isolated higher swaths from any heavier snow showers or squalls. Northwest winds will be gusting to 25-35 mph today, which could add to challenging driving conditions in addition to any briefly reduced visibility from snow showers. A few slick may be possible today, so use caution if you come across snow on any roads.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued February 22 at 4:06PM EST until February 23 at 7:00PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Rounds of snow showers are expected, resulting in event total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches for most locations, with locally higher amounts possible. Accumulations up to 6 inches are possible above 3000 feet elevation.
WHERE Portions of northeast and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN Until 7 PM EST Monday.
IMPACTS Plan on slippery road conditions and significant differences in road conditions at times. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind gusts as high as 20 to 30 mph in the heavier snow showers, combined with the falling snow may cause sudden visibility reductions, mainly this evening and on Monday.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.
Winter Weather Advisory
Winter Weather Advisory issued February 22 at 4:06PM EST until February 23 at 7:00PM EST by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Snow expected. Total snow accumulations up to two inches.
WHERE Bell and Leslie Counties.
WHEN Until 7 PM EST Monday.
IMPACTS Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Wind gusts as high as 20 to 30 mph in the heavier snow showers, combined with the falling snow may cause sudden visibility reductions, mainly this evening and on Monday.
Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for Kentucky can be found by visiting https://goky.ky.gov.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued February 22 at 6:53PM EST by NWS Wilmington OH
Snow showers will continue overnight. Slick spots will be possible overnight and into Monday morning with temperatures below freezing. Visibility will also be reduced with some of these snow showers. Gusty winds will add to the visibility dropping with some of these snow showers. Remain alert while walking or driving as you might not always able to be see slick spots.
How Did We Do?
Comparing our AI forecast to actual observations from Sunday, February 22, 2026.
Regional Assessments
Purchase Area
Northwest Pennyrile
Southwest Pennyrile
Barren River
Louisville Metro
Lincoln Trail
Lake Cumberland
Northern Kentucky
Inner Bluegrass
Bluegrass Foothills
Northeast Kentucky
Southeast Kentucky
Frigid Sunday with Light Snow Showers East; Dry West
A cold, arctic air mass will remain firmly in place across the Commonwealth today. A weak clipper-style shortwave will track across the Ohio Valley, bringing scattered light snow showers and flurries to Central and Eastern Kentucky. Western Kentucky will remain dry but chilly under clearing skies.
Confidence Assessment
High confidence in frigid temperatures across the state. Moderate confidence in snow placement and timing, but lower confidence in exact accumulation totals due to the moisture-starved nature of the shortwave and high sensitivity to snow-to-liquid ratios.
Get Personalized Forecasts
Choose which region in Kentucky you're interested in and we'll always show you that one first. You can change your selected region by clicking the "Star" icon on any regional forecast.
Purchase Area
A cold and dry day for the Purchase area. While the morning may start with some clouds, sunshine will increase throughout the afternoon as high pressure builds in.
Northwest Pennyrile
Expect a gray and chilly Sunday. While most areas will stay dry, a few stray flurries cannot be ruled out during the early afternoon.
Southwest Pennyrile
Clouds will dominate for much of the day with no precipitation expected. Winds will be gusty, making it feel quite cold.
Barren River
Temperatures will struggle to reach freezing today under cloudy skies. A few light snow flurries are possible in the afternoon but no accumulation is expected.
Louisville Metro
A cold Sunday with periods of light snow or flurries. While most surfaces will remain clear, a light dusting is possible on grassy surfaces by evening.
Lincoln Trail
Mostly cloudy skies and frigid temperatures will define the day. A few stray snow flurries are possible, particularly in the afternoon.
Lake Cumberland
Expect light snow showers to develop during the afternoon hours. Accumulations around 0.3 inches are possible, mainly on grassy surfaces.
Northern Kentucky
Periods of light snow are expected throughout the day. Accumulations around 0.6 inches could make untreated roads and sidewalks slippery.
Inner Bluegrass
Light snow showers will move through the area today. Expect around 0.5 inches of accumulation, with some blowing flakes possible due to the wind.
Bluegrass Foothills
Snow flurries and light showers are likely this afternoon and evening. Accumulations around 0.5 inches are expected by tonight.
Northeast Kentucky
Steady light snow is likely today. About an inch of snow is possible, which could make some secondary roads slippery.
Southeast Kentucky
The mountains will see the most snow today, with around 1 inch of accumulation possible. Roads will likely stay icy due to freezing temperatures.
Possible Outcomes
Weather forecasting involves uncertainty. Below are two scenarios representing the range of possible outcomes: the "Boom" scenario shows the worst-case/highest-impact result if conditions align unfavorably, while the "Bust" scenario shows the best-case/lowest-impact result if the forecast doesn't materialize as expected.
The 'Boom' Scenario
If the shortwave slows and taps into slightly deeper low-level moisture, localized totals could reach 1.5 to 2.0 inches in the Northeast and Southeast Coalfields due to orographic enhancement.
The 'Bust' Scenario
If dry-air entrainment (virga) is more aggressive, snowfall will be limited to non-accumulating flurries, with many areas seeing only a trace.
Model Disagreements
When models disagree, a call must be made to determine the most likely outcome. This decision is based on a combination of factors including model performance, historical data, and the models general accounting of each climatic region of Kentucky.
Eastern Mountain Enhancement
Disagreement exists on the magnitude of orographic lift in the Southeast Coalfields. GEM and NAM suggest totals over 1 inch, while the GFS/Euro keep totals closer to 0.5 inches.
Why GEM Wins
The GEM typically captures the subtle upslope flow and moisture convergence in the Kentucky mountains more accurately than global models in clipper-like setups.
The Virga Barrier
The models are in conflict regarding how far west the light snow showers will penetrate. The GEM is more aggressive, bringing flurries to the I-69 corridor, while the GFS and NAM maintain a sharp dry-slot cutoff near I-65.
Why BLEND Wins
High pressure building from the Ozarks will provide significant subsidence and dry-air entrainment in the low levels, favoring the drier GFS/NAM solution for the western third of the state.
Celestial Almanac
Waxing Crescent
Purchase Area
Northwest Pennyrile
Southwest Pennyrile
Barren River
Louisville Metro
Lincoln Trail
Lake Cumberland
Northern Kentucky
Inner Bluegrass
Bluegrass Foothills
Northeast Kentucky
Southeast Kentucky
Dive Deeper Into the Models
This forecast is a synthesis of raw data from the NAM, GFS, ECMWF, and GEM models. These models provide detailed atmospheric analyses including 500mb vorticity, precipitation rates, and more. You can take a look at the raw model data by clicking the links below.