Tuesday, April 7
NWS Alerts Active This Day
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning issued April 6 at 12:18PM EDT until April 7 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 31 expected.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northeast and northern Kentucky, and south central and southwest Ohio.
WHEN From 1 AM to 10 AM EDT Tuesday.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning issued April 6 at 12:24PM EDT until April 7 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV
WHAT Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 31 expected.
WHERE Portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, southwest Virginia, and central, northeast, northern, southeast, southern, and western West Virginia.
WHEN From 1 AM to 10 AM EDT Tuesday.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. Additional information can be found at https://www.weather.gov/rlx as well as on our X and Facebook pages.
Frost Advisory
Frost Advisory issued April 6 at 12:38PM EDT until April 7 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Temperatures as low as 31 degrees will result in frost formation.
WHERE Portions of east central, northeast, south central, and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN From 1 AM to 10 AM EDT Tuesday.
IMPACTS Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Freeze conditions are also possible in the coldest locations, but are not expected to be widespread.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Frost Advisory
Frost Advisory issued April 6 at 1:20PM EDT until April 7 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Temperatures as low as 31 will result in frost formation.
WHERE Portions of Indiana and east central, north central, and south central Kentucky.
WHEN From 1 AM EDT /midnight CDT/ to 10 AM EDT /9 AM CDT/ Tuesday.
IMPACTS Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning issued April 6 at 9:28PM EDT until April 7 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV
WHAT Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 28 expected.
WHERE Portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, southwest Virginia, and central, northeast, northern, southeast, southern, and western West Virginia.
WHEN From 1 AM to 10 AM EDT Tuesday.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. Additional information can be found at https://www.weather.gov/rlx as well as on our X and Facebook pages.
Frost Advisory
Frost Advisory issued April 6 at 9:43PM EDT until April 7 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Temperatures as low as 30 will result in frost formation.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana and east central Kentucky.
WHEN From 1 AM EDT /midnight CDT/ to 10 AM EDT /9 AM CDT/ Tuesday.
IMPACTS Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Frost Advisory
Frost Advisory issued April 6 at 10:57PM EDT until April 7 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Most locations aside from the taller ridges have a threat of frost. The normally colder valley locations are expecting temperatures in the upper 20s or lower 30s on Tuesday morning, with widespread frost.
WHERE The Frost Advisory is for portions of east central, northeast, south central, and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN The Frost Advisory is valid until 10 AM EDT Tuesday.
IMPACTS Frost could harm sensitive vegetation, and plants may be damaged or killed if not protected.
Take steps to protect plants from the cold.
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning issued April 7 at 2:24AM EDT until April 7 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV
WHAT Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 32.
WHERE Portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, southwest Virginia, and central, northeast, northern, southeast, southern, and western West Virginia.
WHEN Until 10 AM EDT this morning.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. Additional information can be found at https://www.weather.gov/rlx as well as on our X and Facebook pages.
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning issued April 7 at 2:33AM EDT until April 7 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 27.
WHERE Portions of east central and southeast Indiana, northeast and northern Kentucky, and central, south central, southwest, and west central Ohio.
WHEN Until 10 AM EDT this morning.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Frost Advisory
Frost Advisory issued April 7 at 3:07AM EDT until April 7 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Frost is expected to develop in valleys and other low lying areas as temperatures in these locations bottom out in the low to mid 30s. Ridgetop and more open terrain locations are not expected to have frost as lows there only reach the upper 30s to low 40s.
WHERE Portions of east central, northeast, south central, and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN Until 10 AM EDT this morning.
IMPACTS Frost could harm sensitive vegetation, and plants may be damaged or killed if not protected.
Take steps to protect plants from the cold.
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning issued April 7 at 12:09PM EDT until April 8 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Charleston WV
WHAT Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 25 expected.
WHERE Portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, southwest Virginia, and central, northeast, northern, southeast, southern, and western West Virginia.
WHEN From 11 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Wednesday.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. Additional information can be found at https://www.weather.gov/rlx as well as on our X and Facebook pages.
Frost Advisory
Frost Advisory issued April 7 at 1:27PM EDT until April 8 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Temperatures in the lower to mid 30s will result in frost formation.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northern Kentucky, and southwest Ohio.
WHEN From 11 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Wednesday.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning issued April 7 at 1:27PM EDT until April 8 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Sub-freezing temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s are likely.
WHERE Portions of east central and southeast Indiana, northeast and northern Kentucky, and central, south central, southwest, and west central Ohio.
WHEN From 11 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Wednesday.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. Drain in-ground sprinkler systems and cover above ground pipes.
Frost Advisory
Frost Advisory issued April 7 at 2:55PM EDT until April 8 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Near freezing temperatures of 30 to 35, coldest in sheltered and low-lying areas. Locally milder temperatures on ridges.
WHERE Portions of east central, south central, and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN From 1 AM to 10 AM EDT Wednesday.
IMPACTS Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning issued April 7 at 2:55PM EDT until April 8 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Sub-freezing temperatures of 26 to 31 in valleys. Ridges will remain above freezing.
WHERE Portions of east central, northeast, and southeast Kentucky.
WHEN From midnight tonight to 10 AM EDT Wednesday.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning issued April 7 at 2:55PM EDT until April 8 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Jackson KY
WHAT Freezing temperatures of 30 to 32 expected.
WHERE Bath, Fleming, and Montgomery Counties.
WHEN From 1 AM to 10 AM EDT Wednesday.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning issued April 7 at 3:07PM EDT until April 8 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
WHAT Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 expected.
WHERE Bourbon, Harrison, and Nicholas Counties.
WHEN From 1 AM to 10 AM EDT Wednesday.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement issued April 7 at 3:20PM EDT by NWS Louisville KY
Temperatures are expected to fall into the low-to-mid 30s early Wednesday morning across the Kentucky Bluegrass region and southeast Indiana. While most areas should remain above freezing, cold spots could fall to around or just below freezing around sunrise. Protective actions should be taken for any sensitive outdoor plants.
Frost Advisory
Frost Advisory issued April 7 at 7:47PM EDT until April 8 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Temperatures in the lower to mid 30s will result in frost formation. Localized areas will have the potential to drop below freezing.
WHERE Portions of southeast Indiana, northern Kentucky, and southwest Ohio.
WHEN From 11 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Wednesday.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning issued April 7 at 7:47PM EDT until April 8 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Wilmington OH
WHAT Sub-freezing temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s are likely.
WHERE Portions of east central and southeast Indiana, northeast and northern Kentucky, and central, south central, southwest, and west central Ohio.
WHEN From 11 PM this evening to 10 AM EDT Wednesday.
IMPACTS Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops and other sensitive vegetation.
Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. Drain in-ground sprinkler systems and cover above ground pipes.
How Did We Do?
Comparing our AI forecast to actual observations from Tuesday, April 7, 2026.
Regional Assessments
Purchase Area
Northwest Pennyrile
Southwest Pennyrile
Barren River
Louisville Metro
Lincoln Trail
Lake Cumberland
Northern Kentucky
Inner Bluegrass
Bluegrass Foothills
Northeast Kentucky
Southeast Kentucky
A Crisp and Bright Spring Day Across Kentucky
High pressure will dominate the Commonwealth today, ensuring a dry and sun-filled spring day for all regions. While the morning starts out chilly, especially across the north and east, seasonal afternoon temperatures and light to moderate breezes will provide pleasant conditions for outdoor activities.
Confidence Assessment
Extremely high agreement between all major model suites regarding the lack of precipitation and the overall temperature trend. The 5-point deduction accounts for minor discrepancies in the timing of wind gusts and evening cloud cover in the west.
Get Personalized Forecasts
Choose which region in Kentucky you're interested in and we'll always show you that one first. You can change your selected region by clicking the "Star" icon on any regional forecast.
Purchase Area
The Purchase area will enjoy the warmest temperatures in the state today. Expect plenty of sun through the afternoon with a few high clouds drifting in by evening. Highs will reach the low 60s.
Northwest Pennyrile
A beautiful spring day is on tap with full sunshine and temperatures climbing into the upper 50s. Light northwesterly breezes will persist through the afternoon.
Southwest Pennyrile
Residents can expect a brilliant spring day with clear blue skies and highs reaching the lower 60s. It will be a perfect day for any outdoor plans.
Barren River
Full sun will prevail across the Barren River region today. Highs will reach the 60-degree mark, though the morning will start off crisp with a light breeze.
Louisville Metro
A bright and clear day for the Louisville area. Temperatures will climb into the mid-50s following a chilly start in the low 40s.
Lincoln Trail
Expect a dry and sunny day across Elizabethtown and the surrounding areas. Afternoon highs will reach the mid-50s under clear skies.
Lake Cumberland
Sunny skies and light winds will make for a great day near Lake Cumberland. Temperatures will reach the upper 50s by mid-afternoon.
Northern Kentucky
It will be a cool but sunny day for Northern Kentucky. Highs will struggle to reach 50 degrees, and the morning will feel quite chilly with wind chills in the 20s.
Inner Bluegrass
Lexington will see full sunshine and breezy conditions today. Highs will reach the low 50s, making for a fresh and crisp spring afternoon.
Bluegrass Foothills
Richmond and Berea can expect clear skies and pleasant weather today. Highs will climb into the mid-50s after a chilly morning.
Northeast Kentucky
Ashland and Morehead will experience a quiet and sunny day. Afternoon highs will reach the low 50s with very light winds.
Southeast Kentucky
Beautiful weather is expected across the mountains today. Expect clear skies and highs in the mid-50s with calm winds.
Possible Outcomes
Weather forecasting involves uncertainty. Below are two scenarios representing the range of possible outcomes: the "Boom" scenario shows the worst-case/highest-impact result if conditions align unfavorably, while the "Bust" scenario shows the best-case/lowest-impact result if the forecast doesn't materialize as expected.
The 'Boom' Scenario
Maximum solar insolation and deeper-than-modeled boundary layer mixing allow temperatures to over-perform by 2-3 degrees, pushing the Purchase and Southwest Pennyrile regions into the mid-60s.
The 'Bust' Scenario
A slightly faster arrival of mid-to-high level moisture from a weak shortwave in the Plains results in scattered cloud cover by mid-afternoon, stunting diurnal heating by a few degrees in western Kentucky.
Model Disagreements
When models disagree, a call must be made to determine the most likely outcome. This decision is based on a combination of factors including model performance, historical data, and the models general accounting of each climatic region of Kentucky.
Western Cloud Incursions
The ECMWF and GEM are more aggressive with the arrival of high-level cirrus clouds into the Purchase area before 00z, whereas the GFS and NAM maintain clear skies through the entire period.
Why EURO Wins
The ECMWF typically handles the edge of mid-level dry slots and the progression of high-level moisture plumes with superior accuracy in the 24-48 hour window.
Boundary Layer Mixing vs. Wind Timing
The NAM and GEM suggest peak wind gusts will occur during the late morning and early afternoon as the boundary layer mixes into a moderate 850mb jet. The GFS delays these gusts until the evening, tied to a tightening pressure gradient as the high-pressure center shifts east.
Why NAM Wins
High-resolution mesoscale models like the NAM typically resolve diurnal momentum transfer and boundary layer mixing more accurately than global models in a quiescent high-pressure setup.
Celestial Almanac
Waning Gibbous
Purchase Area
Northwest Pennyrile
Southwest Pennyrile
Barren River
Louisville Metro
Lincoln Trail
Lake Cumberland
Northern Kentucky
Inner Bluegrass
Bluegrass Foothills
Northeast Kentucky
Southeast Kentucky
Dive Deeper Into the Models
This forecast is a synthesis of raw data from the NAM, GFS, ECMWF, and GEM models. These models provide detailed atmospheric analyses including 500mb vorticity, precipitation rates, and more. You can take a look at the raw model data by clicking the links below.